- SWFX market sentiment is 70% bearish (-4%)
- 55% of pending orders in 100-pip range are to SELL the Euro
- 72% of total pending commands are to sell the Euro
- Upcoming events: US Core PCE Price Index m/m, US Personal Spending m/m
The EUR/USD currency pair revealed a regular 9 base point gain, despite the report showing an unexpected slowdown in the US economy. The pair kept pulling away from the 1.2500 high, targeting 1.2400 area.
The US economy revealed weaker-than-anticipated expansion pace in Q4, as solid consumer spending resulted in an increase in imports. The Commerce Department stated that the US gross domestic product rose at a 2.6% yearly rate in the December quarter, compared with 3.2% in the Q3, being restrained by an expanding trade deficit and moderate inventory accumulation. Meanwhile, durable goods orders rose 2.8% in December, with the US manufacturers benefiting from a solid global growth and a weaker currency, supporting the country's exports.
Minor fundamentals
Two sets of fundamentals are scheduled for this session, namely, the US Core PCE Price Index and the US Personal Spending for December to be released at 1330GMT. These events, however, are unlikely to affect the market in any way.
EUR/USD breaches strong support early in session
Despite trying to accelerate against the US Dollar early on Friday, the common European currency failed to overcome the psychological 1.25 mark. The subsequent reversal was followed by a breach of the 55-hour SMA and the monthly R3 which left the rate between this resistance and the 100-hour moving average.Technical indicators are generally neutral, thus pointing to a possible period of consolidation. Given that the Euro managed to breach the 55-hour SMA, it is likely that traders see the strengthening of the bearish sentiment within this session and even beyond.
The dashed line on the chart represents a three-week trend-line. A breakout of this line and the 100-hour SMA and the weekly PP circa 1.2390 should confirm the aforementioned scenario.
Hourly Chart
The Euro managed to close Friday's trading session with a 35-pip gain; this sentiment, however, changed early today.
By and large, the pair remained steady during the previous two trading sessions, thus showing the weakening of bulls. Given that daily technical indicators share the same sentiment, this week might finally mark a period of decline.
Daily Chart
Market sentiment is strongly bearish
The bearish market sentiment has decreased to 70% short positions (-4%).
In the meantime, the outlook for the two currencies against the rest of the traded financial instruments is the following: the Euro is 72% bearish and the US Dollar is 63% bullish.
OANDA traders remain bearish, as 63% of open positions are short (+1%). Saxo Bank clients are likewise bearish on the pair with 59% short positions (unchanged from Friday).
Spreads (avg, pip) / Trading volume / Volatility