Trade Pattern-Ideas

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Fri, 19 Aug 2016 07:33:03 GMT

GBP/NZD 1H Chart: Channel Up

The presently emerging pattern itself does not mean a lot for the overall trend, but the fact that the currency pair has just broken a 12-week resistance trend-line does. The British currency is thus looking fairly strong, and this is confirmed by the hourly and four-hour technical indicators, although the daily studies are mostly bearish. All in all, during the

Fri, 19 Aug 2016 06:33:17 GMT

GBP/USD 1H Chart: Channel Up

The Cable is well-positioned to advance. Having found a solid support area circa 1.2860/50, the currency pair was able to gain considerable ground, and it looks ready to extend the recovery by 1.2%more. The immediate obstacle is at 1.3170, and if the bulls manage to push the price above this resistance, the new target will be the July trend-line that

Thu, 18 Aug 2016 11:41:03 GMT

USD/JPY 1H Chart: Falling Wedge

The Greenback is losing strength against the Japanese Yen, as the currency exchange rate has formed a falling wedge pattern. The pair was set to move to the pattern's lower trend line, when it bounced off the pattern's resistance line at 100.98. However, the rate fell to 99.78 level, where the weekly S2 is located at, and rebounded against the

Thu, 18 Aug 2016 11:30:04 GMT

USD/CAD 1H Chart: Broadening Descending Wedge

The US Dollar is depreciating against the Canadian Dollar in a broadening descending wedge, as the currency exchange rate bounced off the pattern's upper trend line at 1.2904 on August 17. Since then the currency pair has been falling in accordance with the pattern, breaking through the weekly and monthly first support levels respectively at 1.2855 and 1.2832. In its

Thu, 18 Aug 2016 08:19:05 GMT

USD/TRY 4H Chart: Falling Wedge

There is a near perfect bullish setup in the four-hour chart of USD/TRY. In addition to the falling wedge, the pair is currently testing a multi-year rising support line. Accordingly, our base scenario is a strong rally from 2.91 and potentially to the July high at 3.10. The first important intermediate resistance in this case will be near 2.97, where

Thu, 18 Aug 2016 07:21:55 GMT

EUR/SEK 1H Chart: Channel Up

The Euro is in a good position to advance against the Krona. In addition to the bullish outlook implied by the emerging ascending channel, most of the technical indicators are pointing north. Even more importantly, the pair has just rebounded from the lower bound of the bullish channel forming in the daily chart. Our near-term target is thus the August

Wed, 17 Aug 2016 11:13:03 GMT

AUD/CHF 1H Chart: Broadening Descending Wedge

The Australian Dollar is one more currency, which is affected by the appreciation of the Swiss Franc, as the AUD/CHF currency pair is in a broadening descending wedge pattern. The currency exchange rate is falling by following near the pattern's lower trend line around the level of 0.7350. In accordance with the pattern, there should soon come a period of

Wed, 17 Aug 2016 11:02:03 GMT

EUR/CHF 1H Chart: Falling Wedge

The Euro is depreciating against the Swiss Franc, as the Franc recently has been gaining strength against other major currencies. The currency exchange rate is in a falling wedge pattern, and it is testing the pattern's support line at 1.0838 once again. As the currency pair rebounds, it is set to struggle with a lot of resistance before reaching the

Wed, 17 Aug 2016 07:34:03 GMT

XAU/USD 4H Chart: Triangle

This is the seventh week gold consolidates within a triangle. In fact, the price is approaching the apex of the pattern, meaning we should prepare for a breakout. Considering that the triangle emerged after the Jun 2—Jul 5 up-move, the upside risks are greatly increased. A rally appears even more probable because of the technical indicators, where bullish signals dominate

Wed, 17 Aug 2016 07:12:03 GMT

EUR/TRY 1H Chart: Ascending Triangle

Judging by the technicals, EUR/TRY is ready to lunge at 3.3450, namely the four-week trendline. One of the main reasons to be long the Euro against the Lira is that the currency pair has formed an ascending triangle, a pattern that indicates growing demand. The positive bias is further reinforced by hourly and four-hour studies and the fact that the

Tue, 16 Aug 2016 10:32:03 GMT

GBP/CAD 1H Chart: Channel Down

The Pound is in a downward aimed channel against the Canadian Dollar, as the currency exchange change recently reached the pattern's upper trend line at 1.6700. There are no support levels on the rates way to the pattern's support line at 1.6545, which is supported also by the weekly S1. The hypothesis of a fall of the pair is also

Tue, 16 Aug 2016 10:21:03 GMT

USD/ZAR 4H Chart: Channel Down

The US Dollar is in a descending channel down pattern against the South African Rand, as the currency exchange rate bounced off the pattern's upper trend line at 13.5348. Since then the currency rate moved lower to 13.2678, which is in accordance with the pattern. On its way down to the pattern's lower trend line at 12.9300, which is supported

Tue, 16 Aug 2016 07:05:06 GMT

USD/SEK 4H Chart: Channel Down

USD/SEK is approaching the lower bound of the four-month bullish channel, which in itself is a strong 'buy' signal. Nevertheless, the pair has recently confirmed the 16-month resistance trend-line at 8.68, and the risks are thus heavily skewed to the downside. The negative bias is also confirmed by market sentiment, as the US Dollar is overbought—62% of positions are long.We

Tue, 16 Aug 2016 06:32:07 GMT

CAD/CHF 1H Chart: Channel Up

Despite CAD/CHF forming a bullish channel, a sell-off is a lot more likely than a rally. In addition to the fact that the pair is trading right at the upper boundary of the pattern, which implies a downward correction, the outlook is bearish because of the four-month falling resistance trend-line at 0.7560. Our base case scenario is a dip to

Mon, 15 Aug 2016 13:27:03 GMT

EUR/USD 1H Chart: Channel Up

The common European currency recently confirmed an ascending channel pattern against the US Dollar, as the currency exchange rate is slowly rising next to the pattern's support line, in which it finds support. The pattern's lower trend line is also supported by the 55, 100 and 200-hour simple moving averages respectively at 1.1157, 1.1151 and 1.1137, and the newly formed

Mon, 15 Aug 2016 12:20:03 GMT

USD/CHF 4H Chart: Channel Down

The US Dollar is depreciating against the Swiss Franc in a descending channel pattern, as the currency exchange rate recently bounced off the pattern's upper trend line at 0.9838. On its way down to the pattern's lower trend line at 0.9530 the pair is set to meet various support levels, as all of the weekly support lines and the first

Mon, 15 Aug 2016 07:37:04 GMT

CHF/JPY 1W Chart: Channel Down

For now there are few reasons to doubt current bearish momentum of CHF/JPY. The pair is trading in a well-defined descending channel, and a majority of indicators in daily and weekly timeframes are pointing south.At the moment, the main argument against being short is a demand area circa psychological 100 yen. If this support is broken, however, the pair will

Mon, 15 Aug 2016 07:26:04 GMT

GBP/JPY 4H Chart: Falling Wedge

Different studies give different outlooks on GBP/JPY. Judging by the pattern the currency pair is forming, the price is likely to rally towards 135.70 (monthly PP and 200-period SMA) and then towards 142.50 (monthly R1 and July 20 high) once resistance at 131.80 is breached.On the other hand, technical indicators and SWFX sentiment (62% of positions are long) suggest

Mon, 15 Aug 2016 07:00:30 GMT

EUR/NZD 30M Chart: Channel Up

Near-term outlook on EUR/NZD is strongly bullish. Appreciation of the Euro implied by the pattern is supported by an overwhelming majority of other studies. In addition to the technical indicators that in aggregate are pointing upwards, the single currency is heavily oversold (69% of positions are short), making an extension of the current rally even more probable. Immediate resistance is

Fri, 12 Aug 2016 10:25:03 GMT

USD/TRY 4H Chart: Channel Down

The US Dollar is in a descending channel pattern against the Turkish Lira, as the currency exchange rate recently rebounded against the pattern's lower trend line at 2.9532 on August 10. As the pair surged on August 12, the rate encountered the 200-period SMA, which hindered the Greenback's appreciation against the Lira. On the way to the pattern's upper trend

Fri, 12 Aug 2016 10:14:59 GMT

AUD/NZD 1H Chart: Channel Up

A pair of two commodity currencies is trading in an ascending channel pattern, as the Aussie appreciates against the Kiwi. The currency exchange rate is in the middle of the pattern, as the rate bounced off the pattern's lower trend line at 1.0578 around midnight between August 10 and August 11. The currency pair is bouncing between the simple moving

Fri, 12 Aug 2016 08:10:03 GMT

EUR/SEK 4H Chart: Channel Down

The near-term outlook on EUR/SEK is bearish, as the currency pair has recently formed a well-defined descending channel following a failed attempt to revisit 2015 highs. After a small upward correction from 9.41 the pattern implies a sell-off from its upper boundary at 9.46.The decline, however, is expected to be limited by support at 9.36 because of the four-month uptrend

Fri, 12 Aug 2016 06:56:21 GMT

USD/JPY 4H Chart: Double Bottom

Judging by the situation in the daily chart, USD/JPY is currently in the middle of a new bearish wave within a descending channel. However, because of solid demand circa psychological 100 yen level, there is a good chance of a rally. This possibility is reinforced by the fact that the price is forming a double bottom, a pattern that implies

Thu, 11 Aug 2016 13:07:04 GMT

SGD/JPY 4H Chart: Channel Down

The Singapore Dollar is depreciating against the Japanese Yen in a channel down pattern, as the currency exchange rate has been struggling with the pattern's upper trend line for the past week. On its way down the pair is likely to find support at two levels, which are represented by the weekly S1 at 74.98 and weekly S2 at 74.31.

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