NZD/CHF 1H Chart: Ascending Wedge

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA

Indicator 4H 1D 1W
MACD (12; 26; 9) Buy Buy Sell
RSI (14) Neutral Neutral Neutral
Stochastic (5; 3) Sell Sell Sell
Alligator (13; 8; 5) Buy Buy Sell
SAR (0.02; 0.2) Sell Buy Sell
Aggregate

Following a six-week depreciation against the Swiss Franc, the Kiwi managed to reverse early in September and recover half of the losses. 

This upward movement revealed the existence of a junior channel up. This pattern, however, is a part of a longer period descending channel in force since mid-July. The pair is gradually approaching the upper boundary of the senior pattern which is located near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and the weekly R2 circa 0.7230. It is likely that this area is reached on Monday. 

Given that ascending wedge is generally a bearish formation, the Kiwi should break out to the upside, possibly using the aforementioned 0.7230 area as a reversal point. Subsequently, the downside target could be the 200-hour SMA and the 38.2% Fibo near 0.7010 a breakout of which should pave the way for a further decline. If nothing changes in the direction of the pair, it might test the lower boundary of the senior channel in the medium term.

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