USD/NOK 4H Chart: Channel Down

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
Although USD/NOK appears to have formed a bearish channel, we are highly unlikely to see Dollar's depreciation beyond 8.50 kroner. The reason is that the currency pair is closing in on the major rising support line that is drawn through the Aug 2014 and May 2015 lows. Accordingly, our base case scenario is a rally through the red trend-line at 8.65. This will imply a test of the 8.77-8.74 area. However, considering the density of the supply zone, it may take some time before the bulls push through and set eyes on the January high at 8.99. In the meantime, the US Dollar is oversold in the SWFX market—at the moment 72% of open positions are short.
© Dukascopy Bank SA
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