If the rate closes above 1.2333, the initial target will be the 200-hour SMA at 1.2386, where it merges with the daily R2, and there will be a real chance of a surge up to 1.2463 (weekly R1). As for the break-out to the downside, the main target will be the Jun 10 low at 1.22, but there are likely to be short-term corrections at the pivot points.