GBP/USD: downside risks persist

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA

Positions Today Yesterday % Change
Longs 54% 59% -9.26%
Shorts 46% 41% 10.87%
Indicator 4H 1D 1W
MACD (12; 26; 9) Sell Sell Buy
RSI (14) Neutral Neutral Neutral
Stochastic (5; 3; 3) Sell Sell Sell
Alligator (13; 8; 5) Sell Sell Buy
SAR (0.02; 0.2) Buy Sell Buy
Aggregate

In spite of bearish signs, the Sterling managed to appreciate against the US Dollar on Tuesday, successfully retaking the 1.27 level. Gains were limited by the monthly S1, but this area risks getting overcome today, with focus being on the Fed meeting. A rate hike is priced in, but a dovish outlook is still somewhat expected, which is to strengthen the Cable further and allow it to approach the 1.29 handle. However, technical indicators keep giving strong bearish signals, refusing to confirm the possibility of the positive outcome. A hawkish surprise from the Fed could be the result, in which case the GBP/USD pair is likely to retreat towards the monthly S2 at 1.2624 again and possibly even pierce it. Meanwhile, traders remain undecided, as their sentiment is relatively neutral—54% of all open positions are long.

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