EUR/JPY risks falling back under 125.00

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"That [applying negative loan rates] puts a different light on the BOJ meeting and suggests they might be more creative than the markets had given them credit for. Clearly we have seen the yen suffer on the back of that." 
- Rabobank (based on CNBC) 


Pair's Outlook 
News that the BoJ might soon implement negative loan rates significantly weakened the Japanese Yen on Friday, causing the EUR/JPY cross to reach the third resistance level—the 55-day SMA at 125.40. Even though the given SMA now acts as the nearest support, the Euro is still expected to undergo a correction, with the target level now being the 20-day SMA around 124.72. Technical indicators in all timeframes are giving bearish signals, bolstering the possibility of the pair closing below the 55-day SMA; however, the exchange rate could recover from its intraday lows and still close above the 125.00 mark. 

Traders' Sentiment 
There are slightly more traders with a positive outlook towards the European currency, namely 62%, compared to 59% at the end of the previous week. The number of buy orders slid from 76 to 59%.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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