EUR/USD stays below down-trend at 1.2450

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"The lower inflation that we'll get from the lower price of oil is going to be temporary."
- Stanley Fischer, Federal Reserve Vice Chairman (based on Reuters)

Pair's Outlook
EUR/USD is still trading in a narrow range, which is partly explained by the long-term triangle pattern. On Monday, the Euro continued hovering around the down-trend around 1.2450, which is strengthened by monthly pivot point and 20-day SMA. Therefore, we expect the Euro to lose value on Tuesday and cross the weekly pivot point at 1.2447, which will open the way down to this year's low at 1.2360, in order for the pair to reach it in the medium-term. 

Traders' Sentiment
It seems that advantage of bulls over bears is not the case anymore, as now there are only 48% of long positions on the single currency (54% yesterday). Pending orders, however, improved significantly to stay completely neutral in 100-pip range from the spot price.

© Dukascopy Bank SA

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