NZD/USD tests 0.8285/62

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"Our economists argue that whilst payrolls were disappointing, momentum in total output growth remains solid enough. Ructions in [emerging markets] are an added wrinkle, but seem unlikely to instill sufficient fear to make the Fed blink."
- RBC (based on MarketWatch)


Pair's Outlook

The support at 0.8240/20, formed by the monthly pivot points and the 55-day SMA, appears to have stopped the downward momentum that has persisted since Jan 14. However, the kiwi still needs to close above 0.8285/62, then we may assume that the near-term downside risk has been neutralised. Nevertheless, the longer-term bias remains negative.

Traders' Sentiment

An overwhelming majority of the market participants stay convinced that the New Zealand Dollar will be unable to recover—at the moment 67% of positions are short on it. As for the orders placed on NZD/USD, equal amounts within 100 pips from the spot are to buy and to sell the currency.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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