EUR/JPY tests monthly S1

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"We think that (the) key driver of the recent euro under performance is growing market expectations of ECB action to address the tightening money market conditions."
- Citi (based on CNBC)


Pair's Outlook

The 55-day SMA, in conjunction with the monthly S1, seems to have stopped the sell-off, thereby leaving the door open for the re-emergence of the buying pressure. The rally from here is also supported by the majority of technical indicators on the weekly and monthly time-frames. However, the bearish correction may still continue, potentially down to the 2009 highs at the level of 139.

Traders' Sentiment

Regardless of a recent decline seen in EUR/JPY and a significant decrease of the orders to buy the Euro (within 100 pips from the spot the share of buy orders plunged from 92% down to 47%), the effect on the sentiment was minimal—52% of positions are long and 48% are short.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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