XAG/USD Technical analysis

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Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
XAG/USD remains structurally bearish, with price trading below the 30, 50, and 100 SMAs in a classic bearish alignment, meaning the broader momentum is still to the downside.



The recent bounce is corrective rather than impulsive, as price is reacting from the 73.95 support area but remains capped below the moving-average cluster around 78.8–81.3, which is likely to act as resistance. RSI has recovered from oversold conditions but is still below 50, confirming weak bullish momentum and supporting the view that this is a pullback rather than a trend reversal. As long as price holds below 81.3, the higher-probability scenario is a continuation lower toward 73.9 and potentially 67.1, while a bullish shift would require a sustained 1H close above 81.3 with RSI holding above 50, which has not yet occurred.
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