Trade Pattern-Ideas

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Wed, 18 Feb 2015 14:06:03 GMT

AUD/CAD 4H Chart: Descending Triangle

On January 21, the Aussie/Loonie currency pair reached its monthly peak and then started losing value. Moreover, losses were changed by upside corrections from time to time. As a result, a descending triangle pattern on a 4H chart has been formed. Currently the cross is heading toward the point of eventual break-out, while the future outlook is still unclear. Market

Wed, 18 Feb 2015 13:55:04 GMT

EUR/SGD 1H Chart: Channel Up

The Euro has been trading gradually upwards since February 8; therefore, it created a bullish channel on one-hour time-frame. At the same time, it seems that the shared European currency has some issues in going beyond 1.5520 level, even though it is not reinforced by any of resistance levels and the closest one is located as far as at 1.5538

Wed, 18 Feb 2015 08:07:05 GMT

EUR/NOK 4H Chart: Channel Down

Although at first EUR/NOK seemed to be trading within the boundaries of a falling wedge and even broke out of the pattern to the upside on Feb 11, the recovery was not sustained. As a result, the currency pair now appears to be forming a bearish channel. The immediate support is at 8.54, represented by the Feb 11 low and

Wed, 18 Feb 2015 07:45:12 GMT

EUR/USD 4H Chart: Triangle

As evident from the chart, EUR/USD is currently consolidating in a bearish market. This fact significantly increases the chance of a break-out to the downside, which should occur in the nearest future, considering the proximity of the pair to the apex of the triangle. If the support up-trend is indeed broken, the Feb 9 low at 1.1269 is to be

Tue, 17 Feb 2015 15:05:03 GMT

GBP/NZD 4H Chart: Double Top

The second currency pair with the New Zealand Dollar has formed a completely different pattern on a 4H chart. The GBP/NZD cross has been developing mostly sideways since last week of January; therefore, it created a rare double top figure. Right now the trading level is located just around the valley between two maximums. If this line, which has no

Tue, 17 Feb 2015 14:43:04 GMT

EUR/NZD 1H Chart: Channel Down

At the moment the single European currency is actively heading in the direction of pattern's upper trend-line. Nevertheless, taking into account negative slope of the pattern itself, a recovery of the Euro is unlikely to continue in the long-term. Moreover, some issues are being created by a tough resistance area ahead, created by the weekly S1 and daily pivot point

Tue, 17 Feb 2015 07:22:29 GMT

XAU/USD 4H Chart: Channel Down

A failure to surpass 1,308 in the second half of January has eventually led to XAU/USD trading within the boundaries of a bearish channel. This fact implies negative bias with respect to the precious metal.Gold is expected to target 1,200 in the coming weeks, while staying beneath the resistance trend-line (currently at 1,240). However, the technical indicators do not confirm

Tue, 17 Feb 2015 07:22:24 GMT

USD/JPY 4H Chart: Channel Up

At the moment the US Dollar is in a good position to start gaining ground. USD/JPY is currently facing a dense demand area at 118.30/00, created by a number of studies, including the support trend-line, monthly PP, 200-period SMA and Feb 9 low. The bullish outlook is also reinforced by the indicators. While we may see some weakness in the very

Mon, 16 Feb 2015 14:05:04 GMT

AUD/SGD 4H Chart: Channel Down

The AUD/SGD currency pair has been developing to the south during last four months, strictly respecting both boundaries of the bearish pattern. As a result, the quality and magnitude are staying above 80% for both at the moment. Therefore, we do not see any signs of breaching the trend-lines, at least in the short and medium-term. Supported by a demand

Mon, 16 Feb 2015 13:54:05 GMT

USD/PLN 1H Chart: Channel Down

After reaching the upper trend line of the current bearish pattern in the evening on Friday, the Greenback/Zloty currency pair is still unable to bounce off this level. However, right now a strong support is provided by daily S1 at 3.6566, which stopped the US Dollar from declining earlier today. At the same time, we see the second attempt to

Mon, 16 Feb 2015 10:28:04 GMT

AUD/NZD 1D Chart: Channel Down

The bears have been in control of AUD/NZD since November of 2014. The pair formed a triple top and subsequently plunged 8.38% within the next two months. The long-term outlook with respect to the Aussie still remains negative. The rate is currently in the middle of the channel, following a test of the trend-line at 1.08, and it is headed

Mon, 16 Feb 2015 06:55:11 GMT

GBP/AUD 4H Chart: Channel Up

Although GBP/AUD is currently trading within the boundaries of a bullish channel, the downside risks are substantial. During the recent upswing the currency pair failed to reach the upper trend-line, meaning the upward momentum may be weakening. Consequently, a test of the lower trend-line at 1.9820 is critical. The base case scenario is a rebound from support toward 2.0389.

Mon, 16 Feb 2015 06:55:06 GMT

CAD/JPY 4H Chart: Ascending Triangle

An ascending triangle usually indicates growing demand. However, the outlook for the Canadian Dollar is bearish, being that the pattern has been formed during a bearish market, namely at the end of the decline that has been observed since the beginning of January. Accordingly, CAD/JPY is expected to violate the up-trend at 95.23 and fall through the nearby weekly pivots.

Fri, 13 Feb 2015 14:01:04 GMT

EUR/NZD 4H Chart: Broadening Rising Wedge

During this week, the Euro/Kiwi currency pair has been hovering just above the pattern's lower boundary, while showing no major intentions to start growing. The only attempt took place on Thursday, but the common currency's advance was immediately stopped by 55-day SMA at 1.5443. At the same time, there are still high chances that the Euro will bounce off the

Fri, 13 Feb 2015 13:50:04 GMT

GBP/JPY 1H Chart: Channel Up

Taking into account a failure to advance above the upper trend-line, the Pound commenced a gradual decline against the Japanese Yen. At the moment, it seems that the British currency is having some issues close to the daily PP at 182.85, the level which is also supported by the 55-day SMA from above. Despite that, technical indicators on the shortest

Fri, 13 Feb 2015 07:05:24 GMT

EUR/CAD 1H Chart: Channel Up

After breaking out of the falling wedge to the upside EUR/CAD has formed a bullish channel, meaning the Euro intends to travel further north, also considering the technical studies. The currency pair has recently confirmed support at 1.42, and it is thus headed toward the resistance trend-line. However, there are a few significant obstacles in the way of a rally.

Fri, 13 Feb 2015 07:05:19 GMT

USD/SEK 1H Chart: Channel Up

USD/SEK is in an up-trend since mid-March of 2014, and the bullish momentum does not seem to be exhausted just yet. The bias toward the pair in the short run is positive as well, being that the Buck is currently testing the lower boundary of the upward-sloping channel and a majority of the technical indicators is pointing north.The exchange rate

Thu, 12 Feb 2015 14:52:04 GMT

AUD/USD 4H Chart: Channel Down

While respecting two parallel downward-sloping trend-lines, the Aussie Dollar has been depreciating against the Greenback since the second week of January. Moreover, right now the pace of decline is expected to begin strengthening, taking into account a recent bounce back from pattern's upper boundary. Additional bearish pressure is provided by a cluster of resistance levels around 0.7770 which includes the

Thu, 12 Feb 2015 14:41:04 GMT

GBP/AUD 1H Chart: Channel Up

A moderate increase in British Pound's value versus the Australian Dollar resulted in emergence of the bullish channel on the hourly chart for this currency cross. Moreover, just recently the South Pacific currency has started depreciating against the Sterling even stronger, meaning that GBP/AUD left the vicinity of the lower trend-line and is now heading upwards. Judging from technical indicators,

Thu, 12 Feb 2015 07:22:00 GMT

EUR/NOK 4H Chart: Falling Wedge

A prolonged bearish correction that followed the up-move between September and December seems to have finally come to an end. EUR/NOK has just closed above the resistance trend-line of the falling wedge pattern. If the pair manages to stay above 8.65, the Euro will likely extend the most recent rally to the supply area around 8.80, where the Jan 29

Thu, 12 Feb 2015 07:21:55 GMT

EUR/TRY 4H Chart: Rising Wedge

As EUR/TRY formed a rising wedge, a reversal pattern, the risks are heavily skewed to the downside. After the currency pair approaches a dense supply area at 2.87/86, it is expected to violate the support trend-line, which will confirm the bearish intentions of the Euro. The initial destination in this case will be a cluster of supports at 2.75/74, where

Wed, 11 Feb 2015 15:11:04 GMT

GBP/USD 4H Chart: Channel Down

The British Pound is still trading downwards against the US Dollar, by respecting both trend lines of the bearish channel. However, while supported by a strong demand around 100 pips from below (monthly and weekly PP), a fast upside movement in the direction of the upper boundary is very likely to take place soon. At pattern's resistance, however, the Cable

Wed, 11 Feb 2015 14:51:04 GMT

EUR/CAD 1H Chart: Channel Up

Despite trading in a narrow range right between 1.4070 and 1.4290, the EUR/CAD cross managed to create a bullish channel pattern on the hourly chart. At the moment the pair is trying to bounce from the lower trend-line of it and begin increasing in value. A strong support for bulls is provided not only by the boundary at 1.4271, but

Wed, 11 Feb 2015 07:06:46 GMT

AUD/CHF 4H Chart: Ascending Triangle

Although an ascending triangle usually means strengthening demand, AUD/CHF has just breached the pattern to the downside, meaning the Aussie will most probably add to the Jan 15 losses. The immediate support is at 0.72, but none of the nearby weekly pivots are considered to be enough to stop the sell-off. Demand at 0.69, on the other hand, has the

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