Despite a failure of USD/SEK at 8.50 in February, the overall outlook remains positive. The currency pair is currently forming a falling wedge, meaning in the end demand is expected to exceed supply. Once the pattern is broken to the upside, the US Dollar will be set to appreciate and re-challenge the Feb high at 8.5576.However, this scenario may well
Though the market is bullish (GBP/AUD is in a distinct up-trend since Sep 2014), there is potential for a current decline to extend down to the six-month support line at 1.88 before the bulls regain control of the currency pair. In the near term, however, there is likely to be a short-lived rally. The Pound is currently facing strong demand
The GBP/AUD currency pair has also been trading upwards, while a bullish tendency here has been in place since the middle of November. Despite that, at the moment the Sterling is undergoing a period of correction against the Australian Dollar. The pair has bounced back from the upper trend-line on February 12 and is now trading downwards. It has recently
Since the very end of February the Dollar/Franc has been following two upward-sloping trend-lines, even though for several times they were violated for short time periods. Still, a distinct bullish trend is clearly visible. Moreover, these are some signals that the Greenback will continue gaining ground against the Swiss Franc. At first, one-hour technical indicators are pointing to the north,
Considering that since the beginning of February AUD/SGD has been forming a rising wedge, there is an increased probability of a significant sell-off. At the moment the key support is at 1.0637, where the 200-period SMA merges with the one-month up-trend and the weekly PP. If this level is breached, the Aussie may fall as low as the Feb minimum
As a result of Euro's failure to overcome resistance at 1.4330, the bears took control of EUR/CAD and pushed the price down to 1.3722. From here we can see a rebound, being that this is the current level of the lower boundary of the bearish channel the pair has been trading within since late February. However, the potential rally is
Latest on Friday of this week the AUD/NZD currency pair is estimated to make break-out from the descending triangle pattern, inside which it has been trading since the beginning of November. At the moment there are mixed signs concerning the future development of this cross, but we tend to stay bearish on the Aussie versus the Kiwi. Firstly, technical studies
Despite approaching the upper boundary of the current triangle pattern, the US Dollar is unlikely to breach it with ease. As first, there is a number of strong resistance levels that will try to stop bulls from pushing the American currency higher. They include the weekly pivot point at 1.2523, as well as simple moving averages on different time-frames (55,
As resistance at 9.63 proved to be impenetrable, EUR/SEK had no other choice but to decline. The pair has already fallen beneath the Jan low and it is set to extend the losses, as implied by the technical indicators and resistance trend-line, currently at 9.28. Once support at 9.25, represented by the weekly S1, is out of the way, the
There are good reasons to be long USD/PLN right now, as the currency pair has just broken out of the triangle to the upside and then formed a bullish channel. Still, there are considerable downside risks in the short run. First, the rate is currently oscillating next to the resistance trend-line. Second, there is supposed to be strong supply at
Since the third week of January the yellow metal has been losing its value by trading inside the bearish channel. However, a recent support was found about ten US Dollars below the major mark of 1,200. This level managed to provide XAU/USD cross with bullish momentum. As a result, it is currently approaching the pattern's resistance which is reinforced by
Despite rather strong negative market sentiment among traders on perspectives of the AUD/SGD currency pair (62.5% of opened positions are bearish), there are several signs the Australian currency is going to outperform the Singaporean one. At first, right now the pair is receiving a major support from the cluster of demand levels around 1.0640. Besides that, the medium-term goal of
Soon after a removal of the peg and precipitous rally of the Franc, the currency started to lose value. However, demand for the Loonie, as evidenced by formation of the wedge, appears to be weakening at the moment. Consequently, the possibility of a reversal is increasing. Should the support line be violated, one of the first targets will be a
The market is bearish since the beginning of November 2014, when AUD/NZD once again confirmed resistance at 1.13 after several unsuccessful attempts to breach it. Right now the currency pair is struggling to break support at 1.03, but the risks are skewed to the downside, and the Aussie is expected to keep descending until it reaches the lower boundary of
While on a longer-term time-frame the Pound/Aussie cross has been developing inside the bullish channel, since mid-February the pair is losing value. Moreover, the bearish tendency is expected to continue in the medium term, at least until the moment the pair touches 1.93 level (monthly S1; 200-period SMA). In the short-term, however, the Sterling may rebound toward weekly R1 at
After a sharp drop of the Euro against the Norwegian Krona two weeks ago, the currency pair formed a rare triple bottom pattern. A development, in turn, followed a period of strong fluctuations of the cross since February 18. This pattern is expected to be confirmed, when the pair crosses the highest peak between the valleys, while at the moment
USD/SGD has been in a strong up-trend since July 2014, after the currency pair had established a solid support at 1.24. At the moment the price faces tough resistance represented by the 2010 Apr low, but the bullish momentum has not yet been fully exhausted, as suggested by the daily and weekly technical indicators. If the US Dollar closes above
Though CAD/JPY is currently trading in an up-trend, long positions still appear to be quite risky, considering that the market is bearish. Although the pair has broken the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the Dec 7—Jan 30 down-move, the outlook will be negative as long as 99.00 (50% Fibo and 2014 Dec low) acts as resistance. Another source of concern is
The outlook on NZD/CAD is bullish. First, the currency pair has recently formed an upward-sloping channel. Second, most of the technical indicators on all three relevant time-frames are currently pointing up.However, there is a strong resistance level at 0.94 that may prevent further appreciation of the New Zealand Dollar, represented by the 2014 Jun and Jul highs. If this obstacle
The US Dollar has been appreciating relative to the Swedish Krona since the first quarter of 2014, when it traded at 6.33. But because of a lack of momentum USD/SEK is currently struggling to overcome an obstacle at 6.50. Accordingly, while in the short run the exchange rate is likely to decline a little more, eventually the pair should resume
As a rally from 1.84 started on Jan 21 failed to extend beyond 2.00, GBP/AUD began trading in a downward channel. At the moment the ceiling is seen at 1.99, while there is a high chance of a short-term bullish correction if the currency pair approaches the lower boundary of the channel at 1.96. However, the bears are not expected
As EUR/NZD failed to rally beyond 1.5830 during the first days of February, the currency pair is now headed toward this year's lowest point just beneath 1.48. After a contact with this support the bulls will be expected to push the price back, but the retracement is unlikely to extend further than 1.50, where the multi-week down-trend coincides with the
The upward correction of NZD/USD in the bearish market took the form of a bullish channel. Looking at the four-hour and daily technical indicators, there is still some momentum left. The pair may well find support near 0.75 and attempt to recover to 0.77.However, the risks in the longer term are heavily skewed to the downside, as evidenced by the
After forming a symmetrical triangle in a bullish market, USD/PLN is now eroding the upper trend-line. If successful, the pair will confirm its intentions to keep moving north. Once the price closes above 3.70, the next target will be a recent peak at 3.7330. In case this obstacle is overcome as well, we will expect a re-test of the January