On Thursday, the price for gold was trading at the psychological level at 1,278.00.
Given, that the XAU/USD exchange rate is pressured by the 200-hour SMA, it is unlikely, that bulls could prevail in the market.
During this week there will be a couple of macroeconomic events to watch, avoid or trade.
On Thursday, the US Durable Goods Orders data will be published at 12:30 GMT. This event can cause a move of up to 20 base points.
The data will end on Friday, as at 12:30 GMT the US Advance GDP will be published. This is the top US data set, which has the largest impact on the USD.
Meanwhile, check out the previous data release covers and economic calendar analysis on the Dukascopy Webinars YouTube channel.
XAU/USD short-term forecast
Yesterday, the XAU/USD exchange rate extended gains and reached the psychological level at 1,278.00
From a technical perspective, it is unlikely, that the price for gold could maintain its growth due to the resistance of the 200-hour SMA at 1,279.71.
Thus, it is likely, that the rate could trade sideways between the given resistance and the support level formed by the 55– and 100-hour SMAs, as well the monthly S1 and the Fibo 38.20% at 1,273.68.
If the given resistance does not hold, the price for gold could reach the psychological level at 1,282.00.
Hourly Chart
As apparent on the cart, the exchange rate is still supported by the monthly S1 at the 1,274.13 mark.
It is unlikely, that the price for gold could jump higher than 1,291.14 due to the resistance of the 100-day SMA.
Daily Chart
Traders go short
On the Swiss Foreign Exchange, 60% of open position volume was in short positions.
Meanwhile, the trader set up pending orders in the 1000-base point range around the metal's current price were bearish. Namely, 60% of all orders were to sell.