USD/JPY declines below 136.00

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
On Friday morning, the USD/JPY shortly traded below the weekly simple pivot point at 135.93 and the 136.00 mark. However, by 08:00 GMT the rate had recovered and approached the 136.50 level and the 50, 100 and 200-hour simple moving averages.

Economic Calendar



On Friday, at 13:30 GMT the US Producers Price Index and Core Producers Price Index are set to reveal inflation changes in the United States at the production level. In general, it is assumed that producer level inflation is followed afterwards by consumer level inflation, which the US policymakers want to reduce.

Next week, the US Consumer Price Inflation data is set to be published on Tuesday at 13:30 GMT. The inflation is set to reveal whether the Federal Reserve is successful in its policy at reducing inflation.

On Wednesday, the top event of them all will take place. At 19:00 GMT, the US Federal Reserve will release its Federal Open Market Committee Statement and Economic Projections. The central bank is expected to hike its base interest rate from 4.00% up to 4.50%.

On Thursday, at 13:30 GMT, the US Retails Sales data and Empire State Manufacturing Index might cause an adjustment in the value of the US Dollar.

The week will end with the publication of Markit Services and Manufacturing sector Purchasing Managers Index survey data at 14:45 GMT.

Hourly Chart
A resumption of the decline might pass below 136.00 and the weekly simple pivot point at 135.93 and look for support in round price levels like the 135.50 and 135.00.

On the other hand, a surge above 136.50 and the three hourly simple moving averages would face resistance in the 137.00 and 137.50 level, before testing the Wednesday's high level range at 137.70/137.85.

USD/JPY daily chart's review

On the daily candle chart, the pair has retraced from the 134.00 level up to the resistance of the 200-day simple moving average at 137.40. The SMA is acting as resistance.

Daily chart




Short sentiment decreases

On Fridayy, on the Swiss Foreign Exchange, traders were 58% short, as that amount of open position volume was in short positions.

Meanwhile, trader set up pending orders in the 100-pip range around the rate were 55% to buy the USD against the JPY.

On Thursday, the sentiment was 63% short and orders were 64% to sell.

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