GBP/USD surges due to US data

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
Despite passing below 1.2700, the GBP/USD has not declined, as support was found in the 1.2680 level. This level managed to force the pair to trade back above 1.2700. On Monday, the publication of the US ISM Manufacturing PMI caused a surge of the rate and it was set to once again test the 1.2800 mark.

Economic Calendar



This week, the markets will watch the US Employment data release. It is scheduled for Friday 12:30 GMT. The data release moves all of the financial markets, as it causes a move in the US Dollar.

US Employment data release consists of the US Average Hourly Earnings change, Non-Farm Payrolls and Unemployment rate.

GBP/USD hourly chart analysis

A move above the 1.2800 level and the weekly R1 at it could result in the rate eventually reaching the upper trend line of the broad channel up pattern and the 1.2900 mark. However, note the weekly R2 simple pivot point at 1.2860.

On the other hand, a decline of the Pound against the US Dollar would first look for support in the 1.2760 level. Afterwards, the combination of the 50, 100 and 200-hour simple moving averages and the weekly simple pivot point could act as support near 1.2740. Further below, the 1.2700 level would once again act as support.

Hourly Chart

GBP/USD daily candle chart analysis

The surge has reached the resistance of a long ago marked resistance zone. We investigated the range and found that certain levels act as resistance. Resistance is provided by the 1.2800, 1.2830, 1.2850 and 1.2900 levels. At these levels major reversals have happened that have started moves that lasted from a month up to a whole quarter.

The GBP/USD could be at a major turning point. Due to this reason watch the ascending channel closely for potential breaking of it and the establishment of a new pattern.

Daily chart


Traders are shorting

On Monday, traders were 69% short, as that proportion of all open position volume on Swiss Foreign Exchange was in bearish positions.

Meanwhile, pending orders in the 100-pip range around the rate were 54% to sell.

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