EUR/USD returns to trade below 1.0400

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
Despite the high volatility experienced on Monday, the EUR/USD has returned to trade between the 1.0350 and 1.0400 levels.

On Tuesday morning, the pair was finding support in the 200-hour SMA and the weekly simple pivot point near 1.0350. On the other hand, resistance was found in the combination of the 50 and 100-hour simple moving averages near 1.0400.

Economic Calendar Analysis



Starting with Tuesday, the scheduled fundamental events will start to impact the financial markets. At 15:00 GMT, the CB Consumer Confidence could impact the US Dollar's value.

On Wednesday, a minor reaction could occur due to the publication of the European Consumer Price Index at 10:00 GMT. The reaction of the Euro is minor due to the fact that the data is a combination of already published individual country data sets.

Later on Wednesday, various US events are expected to cause market moves. At 13:15 GMT, the US ADP Non-Farm Employment Change might cause a minor USD move.

Afterwards, at 13:30 GMT, the US Preliminary Quarterly GDP is set to reveal whether the United States remain in a recession.

The day will end with a speech of the US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell at the Brooking Institution in Washington at 18:30 GMT.

On Thursday, note the Core PCE Price Index release at 13:30 GMT. The US monetary policymakers watch this index as a measure of inflation, not the Consumer Price Index.

Afterwards, the US ISM Manufacturing PMI could impact the US Dollar's value at 15:00 GMT.

The week is set to end with the release of the United States employment data at 13:30 GMT. The data release consists of the US Average Hourly Earnings changes, Non-Farm Employment Change and Unemployment Rate.

EUR/USD hourly chart

A potential surge of the Euro against the US Dollar might surge above 1.0400 and aim at the weekly R1 simple pivot point at 1.0486 and the 1.0500 mark. These levels acted as resistance on Monday.

However, a decline of the pair below 1.0350 could find support in the 1.0300 mark, before reaching the weekly S1 simple pivot point at 1.0260.

Hourly Chart

EUR/USD daily chart's review

On the daily candle chart, the recent surge has moved the rate once again above the 1.0350/1.0400 zone. The zone impacted the rate throughout 2021 and 2022 as support and resistance.

Meanwhile, it appears that despite being pierced, the 200-day simple moving average has been acting as support.

Daily chart




Traders are short

On Monday, on the Swiss Foreign Exchange, trader open positions were short, as 56% of open position volume was in short positions.

Meanwhile, trader set up pending orders in the 100-pip range around the pair were 51% to buy the Euro against the USD.

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