EUR/USD finds support in 200-hour SMA

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
The EUR/USD surge did not reach the 1.0800 mark, as it started a decline during the midnight hours to May 31. The following decline eventually found support in the 200-hour simple moving average near 1.0680. The moving average provided enough resistance for a surge to begin. The surge eventually found resistance in the 1.0740/1.0760 zone. On June 1, the rate fluctuated in the 1.0710/1.0740 zone.

Economic Calendar Analysis



This week, EUR/USD traders will be initially looking at the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index survey results on Wednesday at 14:00 GMT. The publication is set to reveal how the US Manufacturing industry is looking at the future and with it impact the value of the US Dollar.

On Thursday, minor USD moves could occur due to the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change at 12:15 GMT and the US Unemployment Claims at 12:30 GMT. Minor moves are usually around ten to fifteen base points.

On Friday, one of the top events of the whole market will occur. Namely, the release of the US employment data at 12:30 is set to shake up the market. The release will consist of the US Unemployment Rate, Average Hourly Earnings Change and the Non-Farm Employment Change.

EUR/USD hourly chart's review

If the rate declines, the 200-hour simple moving average and the 1.0700 are set to act as support. Further below, note the weekly simple pivot point at 1.0684. Afterwards, the 1.0627/1.0644 zone could stop a decline.

A move upwards is expected to encounter resistance in the 1.0740/1.0760 zone, before the rate once again attempts to reach the 1.0800 mark.

Hourly Chart

EUR/USD daily chart's review

On the daily candle chart, the pair has moved above the 50-day simple moving average and on May 30 confirmed the SMA as support.

If the pair continues to surge, the upper trend line of the 2022 channel down pattern near 1.0800/1.0850 is expected to act as resistance.

Daily chart




Traders remain long

Since Friday, on the Swiss Foreign Exchange, trader open positions were bullish, as 57% of open position volume was in long positions.

Meanwhile, on Friday, trader set up pending orders in the 100-pip range around the pair were 51% to sell the Euro against the USD.

On Wednesday, the pending orders were 52% to buy.

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