Gold bearish sentiments this morning

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
  • Market sentiment is 52% bullish
  • 55% of pending orders in 1000-pip range are set to SELL Gold
  • US Fed Chair Powell Speaks

Gold's three-day surge against the Greenback was stopped by the 200- hour simple moving average on Monday.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics released three data simultaneously from which two of them: Non-Farm Employment Change data and Average Hourly Earnings data came out lower-than-expected of 164K and 0.1% respectively.

However, Unemployment Rate data came out better-than-expected of 3.9% instead of the 4.0% forecast; it was not enough to stop the currency to go upwards.

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US President Donald Trump Speaks



US President Donald Trump is scheduled to speak today regarding the Iranian International nuclear deal.

This fundamental event could have a major effect on currencies and the stock market.



XAU/USD stranded between SMAs

Gold's three-day appreciation against the US Dollar was stopped by the 200-hour SMA and the 38.20% Fibonacci retracement on Monday. As a result, the pair failed to form a higher high and reach the upper boundary of a short-term channel near 1,322.00.

Its movement yesterday was stranded in between two moving averages. The narrowing of the trading range does suggest that a breakout should occur soon, and it is likely that the direction of this move dominates the yellow metal during the remaining session.

Technical indicators favour a bearish breakout that should send the rate towards the senior channel and the 50.0% Fibo at 1,300.00. In case a bullish scenario occurs, Gold is expected to test the weekly PP at 1,331.00 within the following two trading sessions.

Hourly Chart

As apparent on the daily chart, the XAU/USD pair reached the 38.20% Fibonacci retracement level at 1316.67 and started to depreciate.

Daily Chart



Swiss market sentiment stays bullish

SWFX market sentiment is bullish with 52% of traders holding long positions in this session. Meanwhile, pending commands are set to sell the metal in 55% of all cases.

OANDA traders remain bullish, as 72% of open positions are long in this session. In addition, Saxo bank clients share the same sentiment with 70% long positions.


Spreads (avg, pip) / Trading volume / Volatility

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