EUR/USD waits near 1.1000

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
Since Friday, the EUR/USD has fluctuated between the support of the 1.0950 level and the resistance of the 1.1000. Meanwhile, the currency pair was ignoring the 50 and 100-hour simple moving averages. Besides these developments, the situation has not changed.

Economic Calendar Analysis


On Thursday, the top event of the week will take place. At 12:30 GMT, the US Consumer Price Index is bound to impact all currency pairs via an adjustment of the value of the US Dollar to the inflation numbers.

On Friday, the US Producer Price Index numbers will reveal how inflation is doing at the producer level. This rate might cause a move, if it deviates a lot from the market forecast. However, due to it being released a day after the consumer inflation, it is unlikely that the PPI numbers create a major market reaction.

EUR/USD hourly chart analysis

In the near term future, the Euro could recover against the US Dollar and face the resistance of the 1.1000 mark. If this level fails, the rate should aim at the 1.1040/1.1065 zone and the weekly simple pivot point at 1.1045. In addition, the 50 and 100-hour SMA could slow down the pair, if they resume to have an impact.

A potential resumption of the prior decline would look for support in the 1.0950 and 1.0900 levels, prior to approaching the weekly S1 simple pivot point at 1.0880.

Hourly Chart

EUR/USD daily chart's review

On the daily candle chart, the decline continues, as the pair has reached the support of the 100-day simple moving average and the 1.0950 mark.

Previously, support was found in the combination of the 50-day simple moving averages and the 1.1025/1.1050 range. However, these levels failed to hold even before the publication of the US employment data sets.

Daily chart




Traders continue to cut short positions

On Monday, traders were bearish, as 62% of volume was in short positions.

On Wednesday, traders were 57% short.

Meanwhile, pending orders in the 100-point range around the current rate were 53% to buy the Euro against the USD.

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