The USD/JPY continued to trade near the 112.00 level on Wednesday.
Meanwhile, the rate had touched the upper trend line of a dominant resistance line near 112.10.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics released US CPI data that came better than expected of 0.4% compare with forecasted 0.3%. Note, that the US Core CPI was released at the same time with the US CPI.
The data release caused a minor, but still notable reaction on the USD/JPY charts. Namely, the rate surged by 11 pips before retreating back down.
US data will impact the USD/JPY on Friday
On Wednesday, the UK Consumer Price Index will be released at 08:30 GMT. Afterwards, at 12:30 the Canadian CPI and Trade Balance will be released. This is expected to cause the biggest impact during this week.The data flow will end on Thursday. The European Manufacturing PMIs will be released at 07:15 GMT and 07:30 GMT. Dukascopy Analytics will cover the 07:30 GMT, as at that time the German PMI will be published. The German data causes the biggest reaction on EUR pairs.
An hour later, at 08:30 GMT, the UK Retail Sales will be published.
Last but not least, the Canadian and US Retail Sales will be published at 12:30 GMT. Both data sets combined could cause a move on the USD/CAD of up to 30 pips.
Meanwhile, check out previous data release covers and economic calendar analysis on the Dukascopy Webinars YouTube channel.
USD/JPY short term daily review
Previous forecast worked—the USD/JPY currency pair continued to trade sideways around the 112.00 level.Given that the pair is still pressured by the monthly R1 and the upper boundary of the long-term descending channel at 112.00, it is unlikely, that some upside potential prevails in the market.
If the support level formed by the 55-hour SMA at 111.98 holds, it is likely, that the pair continues to trade sideways.
However, if the given resistance does not hold, it is expected, that exchange rate targets the 112.30 level.
Hourly Chart
On the daily chart there is no significant additional information.It is only worth mentioning that the 200-day simple moving average was located at the 111.50 level. If the rate declines, this SMA will provide support.
Daily chart
On Wednesday, 71% of the total open position volume on the Swiss Foreign Exchange was in short positions.
Traders were both expecting a bounce off from the resistance line and were shorting the pair expecting a retracement down after the previously experienced surge.
Meanwhile, trader set up pending orders were mostly bearish. In the 100-pip range 55% of orders were set to sell.
Previously, 55% of orders were set to buy.