USD/JPY Technical Analysis

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
On the 4-hour timeframe, USD/JPY is clearly in a consolidation phase, trading within a tight horizontal range after the volatility seen in mid-April. Price action shows repeated rejection near the 159.75–159.93 resistance zone, where selling pressure remains strong, while buyers continue to defend the 158.30–158.50 support area, with a deeper rejection wick previously dipping toward 157.50 before quickly recovering. The current price around 158.58 sits near the midpoint of this range, reinforcing the lack of directional conviction. The 24-period SMA is flattening and price is oscillating around it, confirming a neutral short-term structure, while the 100-period SMA sits slightly above price, suggesting a mild underlying bullish bias or at least a potential dynamic support level. Meanwhile, the RSI at 50.33 reflects perfectly balanced momentum, with neither overbought nor oversold conditions, leaving room for expansion in either direction.



Overall, the market appears to be coiling, awaiting a catalyst, with a clean breakout above 159.93 opening the path toward the 160.50 psychological level, while a decisive move below 158.30 could expose the 157.50 swing low; until such a break occurs, conditions favor range-bound, mean-reversion behavior with choppy price action.
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