After touching the upper trend-line of the bullish pattern on June 10, the Euro/Kiwi cross decided to trade sideways. The tendency persists at the moment as well, meaning that the pair is inevitably going to approach the lower edge some time in the future. However, a decisive move to the south is not off the table; however, the pair should
USD/CAD is ready to break out of the pattern. However, the signals are conflicting. The pattern itself indicates that the demand is building up. On the other hand, for a few days before the ascending triangle the market was bearish, and the price is below the long-term SMA. At the same time, the technical studies are mixed.If the rate closes
The bias towards USD/PLN is negative. The currency pair has just approached the upper boundary of the recently formed bearish channel. The US Dollar should bounce off resistance at 3.72 and penetrate the nearest supports, including the monthly PP at 3.70, 200-period SMA at 3.6730 and Jun 10 low at 3.6475. A rebound will be expected at 3.61, where the
USD/TRY has recently touched a strong resistance level, and there is likely to be a further sell-off over the next couple of weeks, despite the daily indicators pointing upwards. Nonetheless, the overall outlook remain bullish, and the downside should be limited by the potential lower boundary of the bullish channel at 2.65 reinforced by the monthly PP. There the currency
This week the Kiwi has plummeted against the majority of its counterparts. The list of currency pairs included the Kiwi/Loonie, which dropped substantially, and therefore confirmed the descending triangle pattern. By crossing both weekly and monthly S1 support lines, there is a greater risk the New Zealand currency will continue falling in the medium and long-term against the Canadian Dollar.
The Euro has neared the lower boundary of the double top pattern, which is represented by the valley between two tops, Jun 8 low and weekly pivot point at 1.0440. Supported by the daily S3 nine pips lower, the EUR/CHF currency pair is expected to commence a recovery and develop in the direction of recent high around 1.0565. The bullish
Although USD/DKK is currently trading within the boundaries of a high-quality bearish channel, we should be wary of the fact that the US Dollar is currently undergoing a downward correction. This significantly increases the upside risks.Still, there is some downward potential left. The 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the May 2014—Mar 2015 rally is at 6.44, and we might descend down
For the past two months the currency pair has been distinctly bullish, and there are good arguments in favour of the Euro appreciating further. The main reasons for a positive outlook are that the indicators are mostly pointing upwards, and there is a well-defined upward-sloping channel.However, EUR/NZD is facing a critical resistance area around 1.6278, represented by the upper edge
After hitting the present pattern's high at 97.33 in the middle of May, the AUD/JPY currency pair has been under intensive bearish pressure. Short traders managed to push the Aussie down for two times in May and June, which resulted in the emergence of the double top pattern. However, it seems that now the pair is getting a third chance
After an eight-day long development in the horizontal trend between 0.7267 and 0.7387, the Euro/Sterling pair managed to create a rare rectangle pattern, while its boundaries have been keeping the exchange rate under control so far. The base scenario is for the Euro's advance in the nearest future, as bulls are likely to get additional impetus from the weekly pivot
Judging by the latest developments in USD/NOK, the recent rebound of the US Dollar has already come to an end. The reason is a reversal pattern, though it is still yet to be confirmed, and we might need a catalyst in the form of the US-negative fundamental news to break through the tough neck-line at 0.71, and there is also
AUD/USD appears to have bottomed out at 0.76, and there is an increased possibility of a strong rally over the next several weeks. Once a cluster of resistances just above 0.78 is broken, the Aussie will be in a good position to surge towards May high, despite there being the 200-period SMA. A more conservative target would be the monthly
Following a long period of losses, the Euro is now rallying against the Japanese Yen. The 2015 low at 126, a starting point of the present pattern, has been touched in the middle of April. However, the correction is very likely in the nearest future, as the pair bounced back from the upper trend-line last week. In case monthly R1
The 19-nation currency has attempted to violate the triangle's boundaries for several times in the past twelve hours. However, EUR/JPY broadly remains in a tight range between two major technical levels, represented by the weekly PP and weekly R1 at 9.3436 and 9.3973, respectively. Only a move beyond one of these marks will eventually confirm the pattern. Judging from signals,
In general, XAU/USD is still in search of the trend: for the time being the price is flat. Meanwhile, on the four-hour chart the outlook is bearish, since the price is trading right at the upper boundary of the downward-sloping channel. Accordingly, the base case scenario is a decline from 1,180 through the June low and down to the March
USD/CAD has some good downside potential. The currency pair has recently closed beneath the neck-line of the double top pattern and confirmed 1.2367 as the new resistance area. Once the monthly PP at 1.23 is out of the way, the target will be 1.2223, where the Dollar is expected to meet the 200-period SMA.If the moving average is broken as
EUR/USD received the most recent bullish momentum from the cluster of support levels at 1.11 (monthly PP, 200 and 100-period SMAs). Therefore, it is now expected to test the monthly R1 at 1.1366 for second time in two weeks, as the latest attempt to penetrate this mark was unsuccessful. In case bulls manage to accomplish this short-term goal, then the
All last week's attempts of the Sterling to bounce back from the upper trend-line of pattern were negated by a support level of 1.52. As a result, the Cable was forced to return back towards the 1.53 mark. However, while trading in the upper part of the bearish channel, negative risks are rising. Strong downside momentum is likely to be
USD/SGD seems to have finally ended the downward correction at the 50% retracement of the up-move that developed between Jul 2014 and Mar 2015. However, the emergence of the rising wedge indicates that the bullish momentum is probably running out of steam. If the rising trend-line at 1.3480 is broken, the outlook will be strongly negative, but there will be
Being that EUR/PLN is trading next to the upper edge of the channel at the moment, there is a substantial risk of a sell-off. The bearish correction is likely to start soon after a test of 4.2060, and then the dip is expected to extend down to 4.12. However, the Euro is a risky sell, since the latest down-leg did
In our previous reports on the EUR/DKK cross we have been mentioning a successful rebound of Euro on a 4H chart. However, right now it seems that the pair is being capped by the 200-period SMA and monthly pivot point at 7.4608/14. This resistance has been limiting the pair's gains for the past five trading days. According to the daily
The Sterling has just recently penetrated one of the most important support lines at 2.1575, represented by the weekly pivot point and 55-hour SMA. This event increases the probability that the pattern's lower boundary will be reached within the next 24 hours. The only obstacle, which may reverse the pair before it nears the trend-line, is the 100-hour SMA at
Judging by the situation on the weekly chart, we are currently in the upper part of the bullish channel, a fact that increases the downside risks. On the other hand, the bulls have recently proved their strength by throwing the Dollar above the 2007 high, and the technical indicators are largely pointing north. Still, a test of the resistance trend-line
Having found reliable support in May around 8.30, the Euro was able to recover against the Norwegian Krone, and there are still good reasons to be long the single currency. However, in the very short-term the exchange rate is likely to fall, since we are dangerously close to resistance at 8.9090. The pair is likely to fall down to the