Judging by the latest developments, namely formation of the descending triangle, supply is building up in AUD/SGD. Accordingly, we expect a breach of 1.03 with an ensuing sell-off through the April low (1.0252) into the region of 1.0160.On the other hand, violation of the major resistance area at 1.0410, created by the falling trend-line, monthly PP, and 200-period SMA, will
As the USD/NOK cross succeeded in penetrating both 55 and 100-period simple moving averages last week, the probability of a robust increase in the pair's value has risen considerably. The immediate resistance is represented by the June 12 high and weekly R1 in the 7.90-7.92 area and the pair has already tested this mark on Monday; however, the first attempt
The Pound is nearing the lower trend-line of the bullish pattern in its pair with the Australian Dollar. However, despite violating the weekly pivot point and 55-hour SMA at 2.0480 just recently, the cross is now facing the next serious demand represented by the 100 and 55-hour simple moving averages. Judging from the market sentiment, which is 70% bearish on
For the time being EUR/AUD is trading within the boundaries of a bearish channel. Accordingly, we expect the currency pair to bounce off the nearby resistance trend-line and pursue an encounter with the lower trend-line at 1.4350.However, even though the signals are weak, there are a few indicators that are currently pointing north. If the sell-off is not triggered and
The US Dollar has been recently outperforming the Krone, but we must note that the downside risks are quickly increasing. This is shown by the pattern the currency pair is forming, namely a rising wedge, a figure that usually portends a reversal. For now we are bullish on USD/NOK, but as soon as the rate returns to the Jun 5
After a short-term rebound in the value of the Australian Dollar in April, the South-Pacific currency is again losing value versus the American Dollar. Moreover, a pace of drop is likely to increase in the near term due to a number of important factors. AUD/USD has just recently bounced back from the pattern's upper edge and fell below several major
The USD/SGD currency pair is testing the lower trend-line of the bullish pattern at the moment. The Greenback has experienced a noticeable depreciation against the Singaporean currency; however, a rebound is likely to begin the nearest future. Firstly, the pattern's support is reinforced by the daily PP and 55-hour SMA from below around 1.3475. Moreover, the medium-term technical indicators are
In addition to the bearish channel on the four-hour chart of NZD/USD reviewed a little earlier today, there is a downward-sloping channel emerging on the daily chart as well. However, this pattern warns of the increasing risks of long-term shorts, even though the daily and monthly technicals show otherwise. The reason is that we are approaching the lower trend-line, and
Taking into account the facts that GBP/AUD has formed a bullish channel and most of the technical indicators are pointing upwards, the outlook on the pair is positive. The downside should be limited by strong support at 2.0112, while the price should be aiming for the 2009 Jul high at 2.0981. If this level is reached, the next potential objective
NZD/USD still remains in a distinct down-trend after topping out around 0.7750 in April. Accordingly, we consider 0.6562 (2010 low) the multi-week target, but we are likely to get a bullish correction from 0.6725, where the monthly S2 level merges with the lower boundary of the channel.In the meantime, the rallies are to be capped by the monthly S1 at
This week the Euro has been mostly depreciating against the Kiwi. However, it seems that a decline has stopped in the past 24 hours and the cross is willing to respect the upward-sloping 55-period SMA, currently at 1.6311. In case it happens, the pair will most likely reverse its downward correction just in between the pattern's upper and lower edges.
USD/SEK currency pair is strongly expected to pick up in the short term. Since yesterday the US Dollar has been hovering just above the lower boundary of the channel up pattern, and now it seems that bulls have gained enough momentum in order to send the American currency in the direction of the upper edge. The closest major resistance is
Although since mid-March CHF/JPY has been in a strong up-trend, there are plenty of reasons to doubt further strengthening of the Swiss Franc. The main argument in favour of a reversal is formation of a double top. In order to confirm a change in the direction of the pair, the price should close below the neck-line at 131.50 (Jun 15
Both the short and long-term outlooks on EUR/PLN are positive. The exchange rate is expected to rebound from the lower trend-line at 4.1556 and eventually reach the upper boundary of the pattern. The bullish bias is reinforced by the technical indicators, which are pointing north on all time-frames. However, we should still be wary of the nearby resistances. The immediate
After a short rebound of the Euro against the Sterling at the end of May and during the first week of June, this cross resumed falling in value. At the moment the pair is approaching the May low at 0.7055, which is under the risk of being violated due to strong bearish pressure. At first, 55-period SMA has recently crossed
The Euro has been gradually depreciating against the Norwegian Krone since June 19, when the pair met a resistance in face of Jun 5 high at 8.8716. It led to emergence of the double top pattern, which may potentially develop into the rectangle in the long run, in case EUR/NOK continues respecting the boundaries of the pattern. In the short-term,
There are good signs the Euro is not going to underperform the Turkish Lira any more. First, the currency pair has formed a double bottom, which implies a reversal. Second, most of the technical indicators, especially on the hourly and daily charts, are bullish. Additionally, if we look at the four-hour time-frame, we will see that the price is trading
USD/CAD has recently formed a bullish channel, which implies strengthening US Dollar during the next few days. The outlook will remain positive until we reach a major resistance level at 1.2560, which is the Jun 1 high.The shorter-term bias however, is negative, being that the currency pair has just confirmed the upper boundary of the pattern, and the price should
The EUR/TRY currency pair is currently following two upward-sloping trend-lines, which form the bullish channel on the one-hour chart. Nevertheless, it is likely that the Euro is going to undergo a correction phase in the short-term, especially considering its downward tendency of the past several weeks. The negative scenario is shared by the near-term technical indicators, as well as the
The South African Rand has been appreciating against the US Dollar for quite some time already, namely since the second week of June. However, currently the Buck is making attempts to recover partly some losses occurred, while rebounding from the lower trend-line of the pattern. At the same time, the 100-hour simple moving average is unwilling to let the bulls
This upward channel is a result of the currency pair bottoming out in April and starting a recovery from 1.4350. And while there are more reasons to be bullish than bearish, just as in EUR/NZD, a break-out to the downside appears to be somewhat more likely here, mainly because of the technical studies that are either mixed or bearish.Nevertheless, the
Considering that EUR/NZD has formed a bullish channel and most of the daily and weekly indicators are pointing upwards, being long the Euro is still reasonable. In the meantime, there is likely to be a sell-off from the upper boundary of the channel at 1.66 and down to the lower edge at 1.59 in the near term, as we expect
The US Dollar is testing the upper boundary of the triangle pattern at the moment. In case USD/JPY consolidates above this level of 124, it will be in a good position to extend gains far beyond to the north. The closest target is likely to be the weekly R2 at 125.19. At the same time, the Greenback's bulls will set
Despite attempts to rebound from the lower boundary of the bearish channel earlier on Tuesday, the AUD/USD currency pair seems to be losing steam again, just half the way towards the upper edge of the pattern. Moreover, there are no major signs that a decline of the Aussie will come to an end in the nearest future, especially considering a