USD/JPY likely to fall under 102.00

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Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
"If anything we may see more about the yen and this is what the option market is pricing in. Given that the BoJ has had a good track record for disappointing the market since the start of the year, the risk is the yen could strengthen a little bit against the other majors." 
- BBVA (based on Business Recorder) 


Pair's Outlook 
[ANNOUNCE]Despite a better-than-expected US CPI, the US Dollar failed to post solid gains on Friday.[/ANNOUNCE] Today, however, the pair's potential to edge higher is limited, due to a tough resistance area located right on top of the opening price. Moreover, the USD/JPY currency pair remains in a down-trend, which only weighs on the pair's ability to appreciate. From below the Greenback is supported by the weekly S1, which is located at 101.37. However, a much stronger cluster lies around 100.60, represented by the monthly S1, the 50% Fibo, the weekly S2 and the Bollinger band. Meanwhile, technical indicators are giving mixed signals in the daily timeframe. 

Traders' Sentiment 

Today 70% of all open positions are long, unchanged since Friday. The share of buy orders, on the other hand, dropped from 52 to 29%.

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