- SWFX market sentiment is 59% bearish
- 67% of pending orders in 100-pip range are set to SELL
- Significant resistance is located near 1.21
- Upcoming Events: Empty Session
The surge of the EUR/USD currency pair has extended itself into 2018. Moreover, the currency rate has surged above the 1.2050 mark on the first trading day of the new year.
Factory activity in Chicago strengthened again by the end of the year, according to the MNI survey. Market News International stated that its PMI of manufacturing sector in Chicago jumped to 67.6 in December, after 63.9 reading in the previous month. The survey also showed that businesses were shoring the stock level to support lead times and prepare for next year's product launches. However, the employment rate decreased, but remained higher than in post-crisis times.
Lack of fundamentals
On the first day of the year's trading there are no notable data releases set to occur. However, the rest of the week will have interesting data coming in. Namely, the various US PMI and employment data sets are likely to move the financial instruments that are traded against the US Dollar.
EUR/USD breaks higher
An initially unexpected even has occurred on the EUR/USD currency pair's charts. The Euro has broken various resistance levels against the US Dollar.Namely, the currency exchange rate moved past the previously drawn short term and medium term pattern resistance lines near the 1.1980 mark. Moreover, the currency rate did not stop there.
In the following hours and as the new year started the currency pair just extended the gains to the upside. On Tuesday morning the currency rate was already located at the 1.2050 mark.
Moreover, the closest resistance was near the 1.21 level.
Hourly Chart
By watching the daily chart one can notice that this surge is bound to reach not only the 1.21 mark, but even the 1.2140 level. The reason for that is the fact that at that level is located the resistance of a long term channel up pattern.
Afterwards a period of consolidation should begin. It would take the form of a medium term channel down pattern. However, that is still set to be seen, as a decline could be stopped. Stopped by the various support levels just below the 1.21 mark.
Daily Chart
Market sentiment is bearish
In result of the previous trading session the bearish market sentiment has remained at the same level, as 59% of open positions are short.
In the meantime, the outlook for the two currencies against the rest of the traded financial instruments is the following: the Euro is 64% bearish and the Dollar is 56% bullish.
Traders of OANDA remain bearish, as 67% of open positions are short. SAXO Bank clients are likewise bearish on the pair with 63% short positions.
Spreads (avg, pip) / Trading volume / Volatility