GBP/USD reacts to fundamentals

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
The GBP/USD has jumped due to the higher than expected UK inflation data release at 06:00 GMT. Namely, it indicated that the Bank of England has to hike rates even more to stop inflation. However, two hours later, the US St. Louis Federal Reserve President Bullard stated that there is no upcoming recession and the US Fed will continue to hike rates.

The announcement boosted the USD. On the GBP/USD charts it resulted in a jump from 1.2400 up to 1.2470 and a move back down to 1.2400.

Economic Calendar



On Friday, the US Flash Manufacturing and Services PMIs could cause an impact on the US Dollar.

GBP/USD short-term view

A continuation of the decline of the GBP/USD could look for support in the low level zone at 1.2345/1.2355. Further below, note the weekly S1 at 1.2320 and the 1.2300 level.

However, a recovery of the Pound against the US Dollar could be slowed down by the 50, 100 and 200-hour simple moving averages and the weekly simple pivot point at 1.2434, prior to reaching the recent high at 1.2470.

Hourly Chart

GBP/USD daily chart's review

On the daily candle chart, the pair has passed the resistance zone of the 2023 high levels at 1.2300/1.2450. Higher above, the late 2022 high level zone could stop the pair at 1.2600.
Daily chart


Traders are short on GBP/USD


On Wednesday, traders were 62% bearish, as 62% of trader open position volume on the Swiss Foreign Exchange was in short positions.

In the meantime, pending orders in a 100-base point range around the pair were 53% to sell the GBP/USD.

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