Initiation of the currently developing bearish channel was marked by a breach of the 200-hour SMA, which adds to the negative bias towards EUR/JPY. Right now the pair is testing the upper boundary of the pattern, and the resistance at 141.19 must stay intact for the bearish outlook to remain valid, otherwise the Euro will likely rally through the nearby
After encountering the resistance at 1.13 AUD/NZD has been under constant selling pressure, falling 3.15% since Nov 1. According to the technical indicators on the four-hour and weekly charts, the downward momentum is likely to persist in the future.However, it is worth noticing that at the same time the trading range is decreasing, meaning the pair may be forming a
Similar to GBP/CAD currency pair's situation is observed with the present cross, which includes Australian and American dollars. However, here the outlook is considered to be mixed for the time being. Besides current boundaries of the bearish channel, the pair is also capped by another down-trend line which is located around the weekly PP at 0.8130. As a result, the
Just a couple of hours ago the British pound in its pair with the Canadian dollar has reached the lower boundary of bearish channel, which has been emerging since the last day of 2014. In general, the Pound was unusually weak against the Loonie, therefore it crossed almost all important weekly supports during this week. Still, it is likely that
Starting from last year's October the rate of kiwi's depreciation moderated after a precipitous decline in the currency's value observed during the Jul-Sep period. At the moment NZD/USD appears to be in a upward correction that should come to an end near the down-trend at 0.7850, which is reinforced by the Dec 30 high. From there the pair will be
After reaching the lower boundary of the channel up pattern on December 31, the Euro/Zloty cross is struggling with gaining enough bullish momentum in order to commence a strong recovery and rise further by going in the direction of the upper trend-line. From technical point view, we assume this is possible, in case the pair manages to overcome the closest
The single currency has been underperforming Japanese yen since last Friday in a constant downward trend, which led to emergence of the bearish channel on an hourly chart. Today the Euro has stabilised; therefore, the pair is gradually moving in the direction of the upper trend-line. It is possible that the bloc's currency will try to cross this important level.
Following an eventless second half of December the US Dollar resumed appreciation against the Norwegian Krone. However, considering that USD/NOK is currently trading next to the upper boundary of the channel, which is reinforced by the recent highs and weekly R2 level, the currency pair is likely to retreat from 7.80/7.77 to the support at 7.70.In case the resistance fails
An encounter with the resistance at 1.53 in mid-December did not bode well for the bullish momentum of EUR/AUD—since then the Euro has already lost nearly 4.8%. Assuming the currency pair has also formed a bearish channel during the second part of December, the sell-off is likely to persist. This scenario is also confirmed by the four-hour and daily indicators,
After a period of strong US dollar's appreciation against the Japanese yen, the currency pair took a pause and is trading sideways since the middle of November. As a result, the double top pattern emerged on a four-hour chart. The pair is still trading above the valley between two tops and below any of these highs. There is a possibility
The Euro/Pound currency cross has approached a very important decision point, which will determine its future development. Since last days of December the pair was trading inside the triangle pattern, implying that the trading range was narrowing all the time. At the moment the Euro is already developing just outside the figure, but no major moves are taking place. Taking
USD/TRY is currently eroding the up-trend that has been guiding the pair north since the end of November. If the price settles beneath 2.34, which seems to be the case, the outlook for the US Dollar will be changed to bearish. The additional support is provided by the monthly PP at 2.3222, but the sell-off is likely to extend deeper,
We continue to keep an eye on NZD/CAD for signs the bullish pattern may not be topical, as the currency pair refuses to leave the vicinity of the upper boundary of the channel, thus putting extra stress on the resistance at 0.9122. Moreover, the daily and weekly technicals are mostly pointing south.If the nearby supply area fails to contain the
The long-term outlook for the CAD/HKD remains mildly bearish. During third week of November 2014 the cross started forming a channel down pattern, as the Loonie began underperforming the Hong Kong's currency. Taking into account aggregate signals from technical indicators, we may suggest the Canadian dollar will decline at least in the short and medium-term, while it is heading in
As the US dollar has been gaining value against the Polish zloty since Dec 8, the pair made it possible to create the bullish pattern on an hourly chart. At the moment expectations for the cross are strongly bullish, considering the fact that the Buck has recently bounced from the lower trend-line of the figure. Therefore, we expect the pair to
Previously we assumed the Pound was forming a falling wedge (since Jun-Jul), considered to be a reversal pattern. However, after the currency pair violated the down-trend support line at 1.5350 (lower boundary of the wedge), the idea there might be a bearish channel emerging became more attractive.In order for the pair to realise this scenario, the support at 1.5200/1.5150 must
Despite trading to the downside since the end of October, the Australian dollar has recently commenced a recovery from the lower trend-line of the pattern and started gaining value. However, AUD/USD is currently trading inside the dense area of weekly pivot points, which may easily turn the pair to trade in another direction. On the other hand, if it succeeds
Since December 9 of the previous year, the Dollar/Swedish krona currency pair has been appreciating, which led to emergence of the bullish channel on an hourly chart. Moreover, since the cross bounced from the lower boundary of the pattern back on the last day of 2014, it has been rising at a faster pace. At the moment there are no
A medium-term outlook for the New Zealand Dollar is bearish. Considering the appearance of a currently evolving symmetrical triangle was preceded by a strong sell-off from 0.88, the break-out is more likely to occur to the downside. In the meantime, there might be a retest of the Dec 30 high at 0.7850. But once the up-trend at 0.7760 is violated,
Being well-supported at 3.34, USD/PLN has recently resumed a rally that started back in Jul of 2014. Now the currency pair is trading within the boundaries of a bullish channel with a target of 3.66, and neither consolidation nor downward correction are expected in the nearest future.At the moment the price is fluctuating just above the rising support trend-line at
Although during the last two months the Australian Dollar has been mostly losing value, at the moment the currency is appreciating against the loonie. If the price manages to surpass a 0.9528 mark, AUD/CAD is likely to reach one of the most prominent Dec peaks at 0.9644. For now this scenario seems to be the most probable course of events,
While last week EUR/NZD did not show willingness to move in any direction, consolidating around 1.58, this week the New Zealand Dollar is consistently outperforming the Euro despite thin trading volume. Considering there are now two parallel downward-sloping trend-lines and most of the four-hour and daily technical indicators are giving ‘sell' signals, the bearish momentum should to stay intact. However, first,
Following gradual appreciation and increasing trading range, the USD/CHF pair managed to create the broadening rising wedge pattern on a 4H chart. Two weeks ago the pair touched the lower trend-line of the pattern and started increasing in value. As a result, at the moment the cross is testing upper boundary. We assume the American dollar will succeed is breaching
The US dollar / South African rand currency pair approached the point, where the eventual break-out from triangle pattern is considered to take place. At the same time, low trading volumes at the end of the year are likely to hold the pair from moving in any direction for some period of time. This idea is supported by short and