EUR/PLN 4h Chart: Channel Down

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Source: Dukascopy Bank SA


The common European currency recently passed the support of the 38.20% Fibonacci retracement level against the Polish Zloty. Due to that factor a review of the situation is required. First of all the pair remains simultaneously in two descending channels. Secondly, the 38.20% Fibonacci retracement level, which is located at the 4.1882 level and which is measured by connecting the 2015 low and 2016 high levels, had been clearly left above the exchange rate. As these factors are being taken into account, a hypothesis can be made. The currency pair is set to gradually decline down to the support of the 23.60% Fibonacci retracement level, which is located at the 4.1038 level.



  Level  Rationale     Indicator 4H 1D 1W
R4 4.2225 200-period SMA     MACD (12; 26; 9) Sell Sell Sell
R3 4.2067/80 100-period SMA; monthly S1; trend line     RSI (14) Neutral Neutral Buy
R2 4.1960/92 55-period SMA; weekly PP     Stochastic (5; 3; 3) Sell Sell Sell
R1 4.1882 38.20% Fibo     ADX (14) Neutral Sell Sell
S1 4.1750 Monthly S2     CCI (14) Neutral Buy Buy
S2 4.1686 Weekly S1     AROON (14) Buy Buy Buy
S3 4.1443 Trend line     Alligator (13; 8; 5) Sell Sell Sell
S4 4.1364 Monthly S3     SAR (0.02; 0.2) Sell Sell Sell
          Aggregate

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