XAU/USD 1H Chart: Ascending Triangle

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Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
XAU/USD seems to be forming an ascending triangle that serves as evidence of demand building up. Moreover, most of the technical indicators are pointing north. Nevertheless, we consider the risks to be skewed to the downside, mainly because of the major resistance area between 1,207 and 1,210, which is created by the recent highs, daily R1, and a multi-month down-trend, which connects the January and April highs. This makes a dip first to 1,200 and then to 1,188 a more likely scenario than a breach of 1,209/1,210 and a subsequent rally towards the March high at 1,223. However, the SWFX market sentiment is strongly bullish, since as many as 73% of positions are long.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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