USD/TRY 1H Chart: Short-term channel in sight

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
Indicator4H1D1W
MACD(12;26;9)SellSellBuy
RSI(14)NeutralBuyNeutral
Stochastic(5;3;3)NeutralBuyBuy
Alligator(13;8;5)SellSellNeutral
SAR(0.02;0.2)BuySellSell
Aggregate

The US Dollar has been depreciating against the Turkish Lira within the descending channel since the beginning of June.  

As apparent on the chart, the USD/TRY currency pair is testing the lower channel line at 5.4632. From a theoretical point of view, it is expected, that a reversal north should occur in the nearest future, and the general direction could remain north. 

However, note, that the exchange rate is pressured by the 100– and 200-hour moving averages, currently located in the 5.5110/5.5431 range. If the given channel does not hold, it is likely, that a breakout south could occur soon. A possible downside target is the Fibonacci 61.80% retracement at 5.0298.

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