ZAR/JPY 1H Chart: Rand towards senior channel

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA

Indicator 4H 1D 1W
MACD (12; 26; 9) Buy Buy Sell
RSI (14) Neutral Neutral Neutral
Stochastic (5; 3) Neutral Neutral Neutral
Alligator (13; 8; 5) Buy Buy Sell
SAR (0.02; 0.2) Sell Sell Buy
Aggregate

The South African Rand began appreciating against the Japanese Yen mid-July when it reversed from the senior channel circa 7.88. The rate peaked at 8.55 a few weeks prior to heading back lower. 

The Rand is currently testing the 55-period (4H) and 100-hour SMAs near 8.40. If this support cluster remains intact during the following hours, it is expected that the pair continues appreciating towards the upper boundary of the senior channel circa 8.65.The nearest resistance is the 50.00% Fibonacci retracement at 8.55. 

A bearish breakout from 8.40 is likely to send the rate down to the 200-period SMA and the monthly PP at 8.25. This area is expected to cause a reversal to the upside and a subsequent surge. The upward-sloping tendency of technical indicators suggest that the bullish scenario is the more likely option.

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