Technical Analysis

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Thu, 09 Aug 2012 15:41:34 GMT

Bears overtook NZD/USD; 0.8098 is in focus

Today pair is caught between 0.8098 and 0.8148 and can't successfully breach any of these levels. It is likely that such situation will remain till the start of new trading week unless USD trade balance data will have effect on the development on the pair. In longer time horizon it is likely that the pair will continue to devalue and drop to SMA200 level around

Thu, 09 Aug 2012 15:41:27 GMT

USD/CAD plummets further

Pair has been depreciating for third consecutive day now, but technical indicators on 1W outlook allow us to expect recovery of the pair starting from the next week. After breaching parity level pair has been losing momentum and it seems that weekly pivot of 0.9918 might be the barrier from which the pair will bounce off and try to return above the parity.

Thu, 09 Aug 2012 15:41:13 GMT

AUD/USD remains upbeat; 1.0613 might be next

AUD/USD is holding ground right nowslumped lower yesterday, though today is managed to cover some of the previous daily losses while advancing towards 1.0574 (23.60% Fibo). A breakout here would expose the second and third resistance levels at 1.0629 (Upper Bollinger band) and 1.0668 (R2 Weekly), respectively.

Thu, 09 Aug 2012 15:41:04 GMT

EUR/JPY slumps, targets 96.18

The Euro moved lower against the Japanese Yen, commencing a bearish correction. If bearish momentum holds, 96.18 (Upper support line) is likely become an initial support level for bearish traders. A breakout of this level would expose 95.14 (Lower Support line) and 92.93 (S2 Weekly), respectively.

Thu, 09 Aug 2012 15:34:16 GMT

AUD/JPY to test 83.06

Yesterday's small bearish correction was stopped today, and now another bullish reaction takes place. As for now, the price is heading towards the monthly R1 at 83.06, which might bring some bearish momentum. In case it fails to stop the movement upwards, then next resistances at 83.57 (Weekly R1) and at 83.79 (upper Bollinger band) will probably reverse the current

Thu, 09 Aug 2012 07:06:45 GMT

USD/CHF to step higher

USD/CHF is crawling higher along an uptrend support line and 55 day SMA, while volatility in the markets has vanished ahead of the weekend. An initial obstacle lies at 0.9738/40, followed by a resistance zone at 0.9790/0.9825, while likely further advancement of the pair will encounter a much more stronger area at 0.9954/1.0003.

Thu, 09 Aug 2012 06:59:43 GMT

USD/JPY's short-term outlook is neutral

Gravity of 78.08/77.98 does not permit USD/JPY to leave its vicinity, implying continuation of a downtrend. On the other hand, supports that lie below are formidable, given their proximity to BoJ intervention levels. Nonetheless, the currency pair stays above 78.43/39 and preserves potential to reach out for 79.29/50, breach of which in turn would restore bullish outlook.

Thu, 09 Aug 2012 06:58:19 GMT

GBP/USD is headed towards 1.5731/79

The price is approaching a congregation of resistances at 1.5731/79, which is viewed impenetrable at the moment, being that medium and long-term indicators are bearish. Accordingly, the cable is likely to bounce off the resistance area strongly and then retreat to 1.5624/1.5599, while additional supports are located at 1.5565 and 1.5517.

Thu, 09 Aug 2012 06:53:53 GMT

EUR/USD to erode 1.2337/34

EUR/USD remains unable neither to overcome an initial resistance at 1.2402 (55 day SMA) nor to push through the nearest support at 1.2337/34. In the short-term the currency pair may try to climb over 1.2402 and aim for 1.2612/44, but will be capped there. A dip below 1.2337/34 and its subsequent extension towards 1.2060/1.9996, however, is our favoured scenario.

Wed, 08 Aug 2012 17:12:11 GMT

GBP/JPY slowly approaching 20-day SMA

The GBP/JPY currency couple has continued its movement within the falling wedge pattern, and a breakthrough out of the pattern soon is expected. Yesterday's rally was stopped and today a small bearish reaction takes place. As for now, the price is slowly approaching the 20-day SMA at 122.52, which might stop the bearish tendency. In case it fails to reverse

Wed, 08 Aug 2012 16:39:12 GMT

AUD/JPY moving towards weekly PP at 82.57

AUD/JPY has already for some time been following the rising wedge pattern, and now the price has almost reached the upper end of the wedge, therefore a soon breakaway could be expected. Today the bearish trend renewed its movement, and now the currency couple is slowly moving towards weekly PP at 82.57, which might reverse the bearish tendency, however, in

Wed, 08 Aug 2012 15:55:11 GMT

EUR/CAD confronts 1.2287

EUR/CAD continues its movement within the price channel, which was formed two weeks ago. As for now, the bearish trend, which started two days ago keeps advancing, and now the price is about to confront the lower Bollinger band at 1.2287, where the downtrend might be reversed, but if it fails to stop the bearish tendency, then next support at

Wed, 08 Aug 2012 15:44:18 GMT

NZD/USD favors bullish momentum, might move towards 0.8228

Pair transited in to bearish sentiment which is expected to last until the pair reaches the 0.8098 level, which it tried to breach 4 days on its way up last week. It is possible that after this level the pair will devalue as fast as it appreciated last week and will reach 0.8005 in next few days after the event.

Wed, 08 Aug 2012 15:44:10 GMT

USD/CAD dives further; 0.9954 is targeted by bears

The US dollar plummeted for the fifth day in a row, and it seems it will remain under a downward pressure. However, if a bullish trend continues, 1.0023 (PP Weekly) might become the first resistance level for bulls, followed by 1.0079 (200-day SMA) and 1.0119 (50% Fibo) in case of a successful breakout.

Wed, 08 Aug 2012 15:44:03 GMT

AUD/USD holds positive dynamics, might approach 1.0574

AUD/USD slumped lower yesterday, though today is managed to cover some of the previous daily losses while advancing towards 1.0574 (23.60% Fibo). A breakout here would expose the second and third resistance levels at 1.0629 (Upper Bollinger band) and 1.0668 (R2 Weekly), respectively.

Wed, 08 Aug 2012 15:43:57 GMT

EUR/JPY is trading flat, 97.93 is still in focus

The single European currency traded flat versus the Japanese yen today. If a bullish trend emerges, 97.93 (61.80% Fibo) is likely to become the first resistance for investors, and if it is successfully pierced, a path towards 98.43 (Upper Bollinger band) and 100.53 (100-day SMA) will be cleared.

Wed, 08 Aug 2012 15:09:11 GMT

EUR/AUD to challenge 1.1671

Yesterday's bullish correction failed to continue today, and now a bearish movement takes place. EUR/AUD already managed to break through the weekly PP at 1.1716, and now it is about to challenge the lower Bollinger band at 1.1671, which might slow down the downward tendency. In case it is breached, then next support at 1.1657 (weekly S1) will probably reverse

Wed, 08 Aug 2012 08:41:18 GMT

GBP/USD to trade sideways

The cable received strong bullish impetus from a 55 day SMA at 1.5590, ahead of an uptrend support at 1.5540/17. However, the currency pair was unable to close above 1.5608/24 and should stay calm for now. In case GBP/USD commences robust recovery, it will encounter a formidable resistance at 1.5731/73, which has remained intact for more than two months.

Wed, 08 Aug 2012 07:44:48 GMT

USD/CHF is choppy

USD/CHF is flat and unwilling to make a distinct move at the moment. Leg up has a higher chance of appearing, though, judging by technical indicators, we might observe some more wobbling prior to a full-blown rally. An initial resistance is at 0.9729/40, while subsequent levels are located at 0.9793/0.9825 and 0.9954/1.0003 and will hamper appreciation of the greenback.

Wed, 08 Aug 2012 07:18:46 GMT

USD/JPY bounced off 78.71

USD/JPY has effortlessly pierced through 78.43/42, but failed to penetrate 78.71 and the price is currently drifting lower. The pair is expected to make another attempt to erode the nearest resistance and get closer to a key level at 79.49/50, overcoming which would imply medium-term bullish behaviour, though additional resistances at 78.92/79.11 and 79.29 will have to be breached.

Wed, 08 Aug 2012 07:02:49 GMT

EUR/USD's outlook is from neutral to bearish

EUR/USD continues to consolidate just below a 55 day SMA at 1.2406, but is nevertheless unlikely to overcome it and then resume advancement towards a key resistance at 1.2618/44, being that most of indicators on a weekly timeframe give "sell" signals. An interim support lies at 1.2337/34, followed by 1.2264/26 and 1.2060/1.1996.

Tue, 07 Aug 2012 17:16:08 GMT

EUR/AUD confronts 1.1768

EUR/AUD currency pair experiences another bullish reaction today, after the recent decline was stopped at 1.1729, and now the price is facing a 20-day SMA at 1.1768, which might change the presently established tendency. In case it is broken, then the currency couple might reach monthly R1 at 1.1827, which will probably reverse the bullish tendency. Moreover, RSI indicator went out of the over-sold area

Tue, 07 Aug 2012 17:05:08 GMT

EUR/CAD to test 1.2439

A small bearish correction, which occurred yesterday, has ended, and now the EUR/CAD currency pair regained its bullish momentum. If the rally prevails, then the price might reach 1.2439 (Price channel resistance), which is likely to reverse the trend, however if it fails to stop the uptrend, then next resistance at 1.2503 (upper Bollinger band) will probably bring some bearish impulse. Nevertheless, RSI indicator shows neutral

Tue, 07 Aug 2012 16:54:09 GMT

AUD/JPY bounces off 82.61

For a couple of weeks AUD/JPY has been following the rising wedge pattern, and yesterday's decline was stopped by a weekly PP at 82.61, where the price reversed its movement direction. As for now, the currency pair confronts monthly R1 at 83.06, which might slow down the bullish trend, but if it is breached, then next resistance at 83.28 (Psychological) will probably change the prevailing

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