Technical Analysis

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Mon, 20 Aug 2012 07:08:19 GMT

EUR/USD's downside risk increases

Being that recent bounce from the uptrend support was not as robust as prior rallies, we may expect the lower line of the channel to be broken, as bulls appear to be exhausted. Breach of 1.2324/18 will imply further depreciation of the single currency en route to 1.1876, a two-year low. In the meantime, resistances at 1.2337/57 and 1.2392/1.2453 should

Fri, 17 Aug 2012 15:35:23 GMT

NZD/USD loses yesterdays gains

Pair has lost all of its yesterday gains today. However, pair is testing 0.8074 and approaching 0.8053 which could push it back closer to 0.81. However, outlook on the pair remains rather neutral providing a high probability that the pair continue moving above 200 day SMA, but below 0.81. 

Fri, 17 Aug 2012 15:34:45 GMT

AUD/USD posing for a 4 week low

Pair dropped to the lowest level in 4 weeks. However, this might be just a short lived price correction as pair has hit 1.0438 which proved to be a strong support level for the pair recently and the outlook for the pair remains positive in the medium term.

Fri, 17 Aug 2012 15:34:23 GMT

USD/CAD poses for recovery

USD/CAD recovered today after successfully broking through weekly pivot (S1) at 0.9874 which should give enough boost for the pair to advance up to 0.9941 as  outlook for the pair remains positive in the medium and long term.

Fri, 17 Aug 2012 15:33:50 GMT

EUR/JPY outlook highly negative

Pair has reached the highest level this week and tested 98.299 earlier in the day, but Bollinger band provided enough resistance to keep the pair back.  Pairs outlook remains strongly negative and it is highly likely that the pair will test 97.143 which could pave the way to drop all the way back to 96.5.

Fri, 17 Aug 2012 08:58:34 GMT

USD/CHF should attempt to recover

An uptrend support at 0.9722/0.9691 is once again at risk of being breached. Provided it does not withstand bearish pressure, additional support levels at 0.9661 and 0.9598 will become exposed. Nonetheless, the currency may still reverse the short-term tendency and prevent a breakdown of the uptrend buy sustaining a rally above 0.9738/51.

Fri, 17 Aug 2012 07:43:40 GMT

USD/JPY struggles at 79.19/51

USD/JPY is slowly but constantly eroding an area at 79.19/51, violation of which will pave the way towards 80.87/81.04. However, we may expect the pair to linger around the current levels due to presumably large amount of supply located nearby. Nevertheless, after a temporary pause the recovery should resume with a support level at 78.71/64 remaining intact.

Fri, 17 Aug 2012 07:38:54 GMT

GBP/USD bounced off 1.5713/91

GBP/USD rapidly advanced towards 1.5713/91, but lacked momentum in order to penetrate it and then target subsequent levels at 1.5824 and 1.5883. Accordingly, the pair is currently falling and is likely to move at an accelerated pace in the direction of 1.5658/08, the support zone which is reinforced by 1.5573, but is not viewed as strong enough to halt extension

Fri, 17 Aug 2012 07:37:05 GMT

EUR/USD returned above the uptrend

EUR/USD managed to stay above an uptrend support line and rallied up to 1.2369/1.2431, which is supposed to negate bullish impetus and force the pair to stop squeezing shorts and move downwards. Even in case the closest resistance does not contain the price, an area at 1.2519/1.2633 will come into play and prevent the Euro from gaining value more.

Thu, 16 Aug 2012 14:53:46 GMT

NZD/USD advances above 0.8083

200 day SMA gave enough boost for the pair to breach Fibonacci retracement levels at 0.8074/83. At the moment there is no clear signs that Kiwi should experience any difficulties to advance to 0.8138 by the end of this trading week. 

Thu, 16 Aug 2012 14:53:37 GMT

USD/CAD slowing down

USD/CAD was stable today before the Canadian CPI number coming out tomorrow (17th of August). However, outlook for the pair in the short term remains negative and it is highly likely that the pair will test weekly pivot (S1) at 0.9874 tomorrow which could provide enough support for recovery of the pair. 

Thu, 16 Aug 2012 14:53:26 GMT

AUD/USD stable

Pair remained stable today as relatively neutral data from US had no impact on the pair's development. However, outlook on the pair remains positive as there is strong reasons to believe that weekly pivots (S1;S2) at 1.0494/438 will give boost for pairs advance.  

Thu, 16 Aug 2012 14:52:52 GMT

EUR/JPY reaches a deciding point

Pair is approaching last weeks high at 97.812 and it is evident that 55 day SMA could introduce enough resistance and stop pairs advancement dropping it to 97.00 and giving start to rectangle pattern formation.

Thu, 16 Aug 2012 14:05:33 GMT

EUR/CAD to test 1.2104

The interim downtrend, which started two days ago, continues, and today the EUR/CAD currency pair is slowly declining towards the lower Bollinger band at 1.2104, which will probably bring some bullish impetus. In case it fails to stop the prevailing tendency, then the price might reach the weekly S1 at 1.2084, which will probably reverse the prevailing downtrend. In addition,

Thu, 16 Aug 2012 14:04:22 GMT

EUR/AUD remains bearish

Yesterday's bearish correction managed to overcome the 20-day SMA at 1.1720, and now the decline continues, and the EUR/AUD currency couple is gradually approaching the weekly PP at 1.1670, which might bring some bullish impetus. However, if it is breached, then the price might reach the lower Bollinger band at 1.1637, which is expected to reverse the prevailing tendency. Nevertheless,

Thu, 16 Aug 2012 14:03:03 GMT

AUD/JPY confronts weekly R1 at 83.20

The rally, which started on August 14th, managed to advance even further, and now AUD/JPY confronts the weekly R1 at 83.20, which might change the direction of the prevailing movement. If it fails to stop the rally, then next resistance at 83.65 (upper Bollinger band) is very likely to bring some bearish impulse. Moreover, RSI indicator remains neutral, although it

Thu, 16 Aug 2012 14:02:07 GMT

GBP/JPY breaches weekly R2 at 124.04

Although RSI indicator shows neutral signal, the bullish trend, which started two days ago, managed to breach the weekly R2 at 124.04, and now the GBP/JPY currency pair is slowly approaching the upper Bollinger band at 124.57, which might slow down the uptrend. In case it is broken, then the price might advance up until the weekly R3 at 124.83,

Thu, 16 Aug 2012 08:57:57 GMT

USD/CHF's outlook is from neutral to bullish

USD/CHF remains calm and temporarily directionless. However, being that an uptrend support stays intact, we may anticipate gradual recovery of the pair. An interim resistance is located at 0.9842/70, followed by 0.9901, while in the longer time perspective the rally should be able to extend up to 0.9994/1.0003, as evidenced by weekly technical indicators.

Thu, 16 Aug 2012 08:57:46 GMT

USD/JPY: bulls dominate the market

Not only the currency pair has managed to pierce through 79.01/06, but it is already eroding a key area 79.32/51, which appears to be prone to give in and allow further advancement. An interval until 80.87/81.04 is free from notable levels, implying a possibility of extended up legs above 79.32/51. In the meantime, supports at 79.06/01 and 78.71/64 should prevent

Thu, 16 Aug 2012 08:57:14 GMT

GBP/USD approaches 1.5644/08

The cable gravitates towards 1.5644/08 and may soon attempt to break it, being that resistance that lies overhead, namely 1.5717/91, is stronger than supports found at 1.5644/15 and 1.5573, which guard 1.5512/1.5482. Subsequently, GBP/USD is likely to push through 1.5450/19 and aim for 1.5249/33, rebound from which will mark a start of a long-term rally.

Thu, 16 Aug 2012 07:06:36 GMT

EUR/USD breached an uptrend support

Bullish run of EUR/USD has come to an end, as the currency pair has broken down through the uptrend line, which supported appreciation of the Euro since July 24. Moreover, short-term indicators became neutral, after giving strong "buy" signal just recently. The initial target lies at 1.2196/64, followed by 1.2118, while violation of the latter level would expose 1.1996/95.

Wed, 15 Aug 2012 15:13:00 GMT

NZD/USD might have reached a turning point

Pair bounced from 200 day SMA today, but although outlook on the pair is positive breaching 0.8083 might be a hard task. However, if the pair breaches this level it is highly likely we will see a double top forming with a resistance level between 0.8138 and 0.8194.

Wed, 15 Aug 2012 15:12:53 GMT

USD/CAD slowing down

USD/CAD depreciated today neglecting almost of all hopes of fast recovery of the pair in the near future. However as outlook on the pair remains positive in the medium term it is likely the pair will tingle around 0.99 and start recovering in the next week.

Wed, 15 Aug 2012 15:12:45 GMT

AUD/USD posing for recovery

Pair approached 1.0438 earlier in the day but weekly pivot (S2) gave enough boost for the pair to appreciate for the first time in almost a week. Pair's outlook in the short and medium term remains positive predicting the pair to remain above 1.05 and test 1.0535 in the nearest future.

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