Technical Analysis

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Thu, 30 Aug 2012 06:47:07 GMT

EUR/USD's downside risk increases

Being that EUR/USD has approached a major downtrend resistance line and 23.60% Fibo retracement level for a move started on October 27 last year, September promises to be bearish for the currency couple, as recent short squeezing is unlikely to develop into a self-sufficient long-term rally. Moreover, the pair is forming a rising wedge, which is considered to be a

Wed, 29 Aug 2012 20:20:10 GMT

EUR/CAD rebounds from 55-day SMA at 1.2413

Yesterday's bullish correction failed to continue today, as the price rebounded from the 55-day SMA at 1.2413, and now the EUR/CAD currency pair is heading towards the weekly PP at 1.2355, which might bring some bullish impetus. In case it fails to stop the downtrend, then the currency couple might reach the 20-day SMA at 1.2293, which will probably change

Wed, 29 Aug 2012 20:09:10 GMT

EUR/AUD moving towards weekly PP at 1.1955

The uptrend, which started on August 26th, has ended, and now a bearish reaction takes place. As for now, the EUR/AUD currency couple is very slowly moving towards the weekly PP at 1.1955, which is expected to reverse the prevailing movement downwards, however, if it is broken, the next resistance at 1.1908 (55-day SMA) will probably bring some bullish impulse.

Wed, 29 Aug 2012 19:58:10 GMT

AUD/JPY gradually advancing towards 55-day SMA at 81.82

The interim bearish tendency has finally ended, and today the AUD/JPY currency couple experienced a bullish reaction. At the particular moment, the price is gradually advancing towards the 55-day SMA at 81.82 , which might bring some bearish impetus. If it is breached, then the price might reach the 200-day SMA, which in turn is expected to reverse the prevailing

Wed, 29 Aug 2012 19:47:09 GMT

GBP/JPY experiences bullish correction

The bearish tendency, which started a week ago, has finally ended, as today the GBP/JPY currency pair experienced a significant bullish correction and the price has already managed to reach the previous weekly high at 124.61. As for now, the price has already touched the weekly PP at 124.62, and the currency couple is heading towards the monthly R1 at

Wed, 29 Aug 2012 15:01:46 GMT

NZD/USD breaches 0.8037

Pair continues depreciate and breaches Double Top pattern's support level at 0.8037. Pairs outlook is mildly positive, more and more indicators start giving buy signals so it is highly likely we will see a push upwards from cluster of support levels around 80 cent mark. 

Wed, 29 Aug 2012 15:01:36 GMT

USD/CAD testing 0.985

Pair continues to depreciate and is trying to breach 0.985 today. Although pairs outlook is neutral, but technical indicators support possibility of further depreciation of the pair, which is very likely as in 50 pip range below 0.985 mark there are no significant support levels.

Wed, 29 Aug 2012 15:01:26 GMT

AUD/USD advances for second day

Pair bounced from monthly PP, but 1.0401 provided enough resistance to slow down pairs advancement further.  Although pairs outlook is neutral in the short term, the Stochastic indicator supports the probability of pair gaining momentum and advancing further.

Wed, 29 Aug 2012 15:01:18 GMT

EUR/JPY trades in 40 pip range

Pair was relatively stable today deviating  in 40 pip range as 100 day SMA and weekly PP provided strong resistance and support for the pair. Pair's outlook remains neutral in short and medium term, but technical indicators give rather strong buy signal and pair is likely to advance above 99 Yen mark at least temporary. 

Wed, 29 Aug 2012 06:53:14 GMT

USD/CHF is bearish

As expected in the previous report, an accelerated downtrend resistance line in conjunction with the 100 day SMA and weekly PP rejected USD/CHF, sending it towards 0.9518/04, below which lies 0.9407/0.9395—support that preserves long-term bullish bias as long as it remains intact. However, we may not yet rule out a possibility of a move lower, to a support zone at

Wed, 29 Aug 2012 06:52:56 GMT

USD/JPY remains tranquil

Despite a recent failure to breach 79.50/63, mainly formed by the 200 day SMA, USD/JPY is anticipated to gather bullish momentum and pierce through this key level, thus restoring positive outlook. On the other hand, if the pair falls below 78.13/77.98, it will become dangerously close to the levels of previous interventions by the BoJ, which may thus act as

Wed, 29 Aug 2012 06:51:46 GMT

GBP/USD surges up to 1.5824

Buying pressure within a support area from 1.5768 to 32 reignited bullish behaviour of the pair, suggesting that the pair intends to advance towards 1.6098, though the journey will not be as quick as previously estimated. Moreover, there will be considerable risks to the rally represented by resistances at 1.5887/1.5915 and 1.5983/1.6031.

Wed, 29 Aug 2012 06:45:22 GMT

EUR/USD faces a major downtrend line

EUR/USD has once again run into a strong resistance at 1.2556/1.2633, but still appears to be unable to overcome it. Therefore we expect a bearish scenario to unfold from here, since a major downtrend resistance line should continue to contain the pair and prevent further appreciation of the single European currency.

Tue, 28 Aug 2012 21:24:07 GMT

GBP/JPY retains bearish tendency

The downtrend, which started almost a week ago, continues, as today the GBP/JPY currency couple experiences another bearish movement. As for now, the price is gradually heading towards the 20-day SMA at 123.83, which might slow down the bearish tendency, however, if it fails to stop the prevailing downtrend, then the currency pair might reach the 55-day SMA at 123.43,

Tue, 28 Aug 2012 21:13:06 GMT

AUD/JPY moving towards lower Bolinger band at 81.22

The bearish trend, which started a week ago, successfully continues, and today the AUD/JPY currency pair experiences another consequent movement downwards. At the particular moment, the price slowly advances towards the lower Bollinger band at 81.22, which is expected to bring some bullish impulse. In case it is broken, then next support at 81.07 (weekly S1) will probably reverse the

Tue, 28 Aug 2012 21:02:06 GMT

EUR/AUD faces 1.2199

The uptrend, which started on August 26th, managed to continue, and today the EUR/AUD currency couple has already made a significant move upwards, and now the price confronts the weekly R1 at 1.2135, which might bring some bearish impetus. If it is breached, then next resistance at 1.2199 (upper Bollinger band) is very likely to reverse the direction of the

Tue, 28 Aug 2012 20:51:06 GMT

EUR/CAD experiences bullish correction

The bearish trend, which started three days ago, has finally ended, and now a bullish correction takes place. As for now, the EUR/CAD currency pair is heading towards the 55-day SMA at 1.2420, which might slow down the recently established movement upwards, however, if it fails to stop the rally, then the price might reach the monthly PP at 1.2498,

Tue, 28 Aug 2012 15:10:23 GMT

NZD/USD continues to depreciate

Pair continues to depreciate after forming a second peak in Double Top pattern, but is slowed down by 200 day SMA and weekly S1 as it approaches patterns support at 0.8037 which the pair should try to breach in the nearest future. 

Tue, 28 Aug 2012 15:10:08 GMT

USD/CAD falls to 0.985

Weekly S1 and monthly S2 stopped pairs fall below 0.985 and we should see minor recovery in the near future. However, below 0.985 there is no strong support levels who could stop pars further depreciation in the medium term.

Tue, 28 Aug 2012 15:10:02 GMT

AUD/USD poses for possible recovery

Pair bounced from 200 day SMA/weekly S1 at 1.0342/36 today, but monthly PP at 1.0372 holds the pair on point for now. As stochastic indicator sends buy signal we should see a price correction action on the pair in the short term.

Tue, 28 Aug 2012 15:09:56 GMT

EUR/JPY demonstrates increased volatility

Pair demonstrated elevated volatility today wandering between 100 day SMA at 98.854 and weekly S1 at 97.742. Indicators suggest the pair should advance before eventually collapsing, but it is highly unlikely pair will manage to breach 10 day SMA resistance in the short term. 

Tue, 28 Aug 2012 07:10:16 GMT

USD/CHF inched higher

USD/CHF drags along with the 100 day SMA, lacking bullish impetus in order to overcome it. Consequently, the currency pair is expected to bounce off 0.9621/36 and thus end its current tepid rally. Once the price steps lower, it will find an uptrend support line at 0.9571/46, followed by 0.9505/04 and 0.9407/0.9395. However, in case 0.9621/36 does not contain the

Tue, 28 Aug 2012 07:10:09 GMT

USD/JPY faltered at 78.71/76

Confrontation with a resistance level at 78.71/76 resulted in another pronounced leg down, which may extend to 78.13/77.93. The support is also reinforced by 77.52/34 and therefore should be able to withstand bearish pressure and restore positive bias towards the pair. However, it may take some time, since technical indicators give mixed signals at the moment.

Tue, 28 Aug 2012 06:47:56 GMT

GBP/USD respects 1.5777/47

The cable has postponed the recovery and fell below 1.5796/1.5824, but remained unable to push through a formidable level at 1.5777/47 formed by 200 day SMA and an uptrend support. Accordingly, GBP/USD retains potential to advance and attain a major downtrend resistance at 1.6098, even though afterwards the currency pair is anticipated to decline.

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