Technical Analysis

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Tue, 11 Sep 2012 15:07:43 GMT

EUR/JPY depressed below 100

Pair is continuing to hover depressed below 100. Technical indicators on 1 day and 1 week charts and cluster of resistance levels slightly above 100 suggest that pair will be pushed down, maybe even below 99 since the only support level on the way would be weekly PP at 99.501.  However, amount of pending orders suggest that if pair would

Tue, 11 Sep 2012 08:13:44 GMT

USD/CHF gravitates towards 0.9424/0.9385

USD/CHF did bounce off an uptrend support, but seems to be lacking bullish impetus. For now majority of studies suggest the pair will remain sideways, but eventually it is expected to start trimming preceding losses (since July 25) and move towards mean forecast of the major banks at 0.9902 (for the last quarter of the current year), which implies bullish

Tue, 11 Sep 2012 08:02:43 GMT

USD/JPY is being pushed towards 77.98/81

USD/JPY is continuously being attracted to 77.98/81 and remains unable neither to start recovery nor to push through the interim support towards 77.63. Additionally, the trading range of the pair is narrowing, as the price posts lower highs, while support at 77.98/81 prevents dips, resulting in a descending triangle being formed, a breakout of which we will observe sooner or

Tue, 11 Sep 2012 07:51:47 GMT

GBP/USD's downside risk increases

After a short correction phase, following an encounter with 1.6021/33, the cable has recommenced advancement and appears to be ready to challenge a monthly R1 the second time. Still, the rally of GBP/USD is expected to come to an end soon, since a downtrend resistance at 1.6084/96 should repel the price once it gets close enough. This is also evidenced

Tue, 11 Sep 2012 07:40:56 GMT

EUR/USD stays below 200 day SMA

EUR/USD is currently performing a bearish correction, which might extend down to 1.2706 or even to 1.2592/84 and in both cases it should preserve positive outlook. A dip below 1.2556/38, on the other hand, may have fairly negative consequences, as the pair will return to a downtrend channel. In order for the price to confirm long-term bullish intentions, it will

Mon, 10 Sep 2012 20:15:41 GMT

XAU/AUD heading towards the weekly PP at 1721

The interim bullish tendency, which started a week ago, failed to continue, and today the XAU/USD exchange rate experienced a small bearish reaction. As for now, the price is heading towards the weekly PP at 1721, which might slow down the downtrend. If it fails to stop the prevailing decline, then the price might reach the weekly S1 at 1700,

Mon, 10 Sep 2012 20:04:42 GMT

GBP/JPY experiences small bullish correction

The short-term bearish trend, which started on September 7th, has ended, and now GBP/JPY experiences another small bullish correction. At the particular moment, the price is facing the upper Bollinger band at 125.40, which is expected to change the direction of the current trend. In case it is broken, then next resistance at 125.72 (monthly R1) will probably bring some

Mon, 10 Sep 2012 19:53:44 GMT

EUR/CAD to test 1.2471

The bullish tendency, which started a couple of days ago, failed to continue, and today the EUR/CAD currency pair is about to test the weekly PP at 1.2471, which might bring some bullish impetus. If it is breached, then the price might reach the 20-day SMA at 1.2405, which in turn is likely to reverse the current movement downwards. Besides,

Mon, 10 Sep 2012 19:43:42 GMT

EUR/AUD confronts weekly PP at 1.2323

Today the EUR/AUD currency couple experiences a small bearish reaction, which stopped the uptrend, which started on September 7th. As for now, the price confronts the weekly PP at 1.2323, which might slow down the prevailing downtrend. In case it fails to stop the bearish movement, then next support at 1.2256 (weekly S1) is very likely to bring some bullish

Mon, 10 Sep 2012 16:14:52 GMT

USD/CAD drops below 0.9768

The pair is continuing to depreciate and is approaching channel down support level at weekly S1 at 0.9726. Although pair breached Bollinger band at 0.9768 suggesting that it is gaining momentum, it is highly unlikely pair will be able to hold below this level for a longer time.

Mon, 10 Sep 2012 16:14:34 GMT

AUD/USD bound by 200 day and 55 day SMA's

AUD/USD advancement was stopped at 1.0386. Technical indicators show that pairs downside risk persists and it is likely that 55 day SMA should have enough power to push pair closer or even below 200 day SMA  at 1.034.

Mon, 10 Sep 2012 16:14:20 GMT

EUR/JPY trying to advance above 100

Pair has easily advanced towards 100, however was stopped by monthly pivot at 100.206 and currently hovers on the Bollinger band at 100.07. It seems that pair lacks momentum to advance further at the moment and it is likely we will see a pullback towards  weekly PP at 99.501.

Mon, 10 Sep 2012 16:14:03 GMT

NZD/USD stopped by trader's sentiment

NZD/USD advancement was stopped by negative trader sentiment at 0.8125. Pairs outlook remains negative  and if even pair is to advance further cluster of support levels around 0.8178 should provide enough resistance to push it back to 0.81.

Mon, 10 Sep 2012 07:52:59 GMT

USD/CHF to lift from 0.9424/0.9385

USD/CHF has finally arrived at 0.9424/0.9385 and already commenced recovery. The ultimate target of the pair lies around 1.0045/88, though it will have to breach a number of notable resistances, such as 0.9496, 0.9564/71 and 0.9646/49, prior to reaching its goal. Provided that 0.9424/0.9385 fails to provide sufficient support, additional levels of interest are at 0.9317 and 0.9253/05.

Mon, 10 Sep 2012 07:41:43 GMT

USD/JPY is underpinned by 77.98/91

USD/JPY was unable to overcome 78.83/99 (100 day SMA), resulting in a precipitous fall, which was halted only by 77.98/81. Most of near-term technical indicators, including daily and weekly, remain bearish, as the pair is likely to be pressured down to the nearby support, which, however, is expected to withstand, thereby largely the outlook is neutral.

Mon, 10 Sep 2012 07:31:41 GMT

GBP/USD struggles at 1.6021/25

The cable is persistently getting closer to a major downtrend resistance line at 1.6083/99, where its current bullish impetus is expected to be changed to a bearish one. GBP/USD has already faced difficulties at 1.6021/25, implying that considerable selling pressure will not allow the pair to carry on stepping higher. Accordingly, the price should soon refocus on supports, the nearest

Mon, 10 Sep 2012 07:21:15 GMT

EUR/USD bumps into 1.2806/08

Resistance at 1.2806/08 stopped advancement of the currency pair, which is likely to consolidate before attempting to continue its upward movement. Subsequent levels are at 1.2864/1.2907 and 1.2953, but eventually should give in case bullish momentum proves to be preserved. In the meantime, dips are to be contained by supports at 1.2765 and 1.2704.

Fri, 07 Sep 2012 20:53:36 GMT

XAU/USD remains bullish

The uptrend, which started yesterday, successfully managed to continue, and today the XAU/USD exchange rate experienced a significant bullish advance, which has already managed to overcome the upper Bollinger band at 1733, ad now the price is gradually heading towards the weekly R3 at 1752, which might slow down the uptrend. In case it is broken, then the exchange rate

Fri, 07 Sep 2012 20:42:33 GMT

GBP/JPY fails to breach 200-day SMA

Yesterday's bullish movement failed to breach the 200-day SMA at 123.21, and now the GBP/JPY currency pair experiences a bearish reaction. The currency couple has already managed to cross the weekly R2 at 125.35, and now the price confronts the weekly R1 at 124.79, which might stop the current downtrend. However, in case it fails to reverse the trend, then

Fri, 07 Sep 2012 20:31:34 GMT

EUR/CAD rebounds from weekly PP at 1.2416

The bearish trend, which started yesterday, did not manage to last long, as the EUR/CAD currency couple rebounded from the weekly PP at 1.2416, and now the price is slowly approaching the weekly R2 at 1.2552, which is likely to bring some bearish impetus. If it it breached, then the price might reach the upper Bollinger band at 1.2581, which

Fri, 07 Sep 2012 20:20:35 GMT

EUR/AUD reaches weekly R1 at 1.2315

Yesterday's bearish reaction did not manage to continue today, and the EUR/AUD currency pair experienced another bullish correction, thus supporting the prevailing interim uptrend. As for now, the price has reached the weekly R1 at 1.2315, and now it is heading towards the 200-day SMA at 1.2389, which is very likely reverse the direction of the prevailing movement. In

Fri, 07 Sep 2012 10:38:51 GMT

EUR/USD tests 1.2651

EUR/USD carries on moving forward despite weekly and monthly indicators being bearish. The initial resistance is at 1.2651, followed by 1.2696 and 1.2730/65, although the 200 day SMA in conjunction with a downtrend resistance line is viewed as having the highest chance of occluding further appreciation of the Euro. In the meantime, supports are at 1.2558/09 and 1.2479/49.

Fri, 07 Sep 2012 08:30:32 GMT

USD/CHF is headed towards 0.9489/69

The currency couple continues to be weighed upon by an accelerated downtrend resistance line, which constrains bullish activity of the pair, resulting in lower highs. Since support at 0.9562/53 has been eroded, 0.9489/69 is anticipated to come under pressure next, whereas 0.9429/0.9398 might prove to be a turning point.

Fri, 07 Sep 2012 08:19:32 GMT

USD/JPY spikes beyond 78.64/78

USD/JPY has sped up development of its rally and has already surged above 78.64/78, meaning that the next resistance that is likely to fall a victim to bulls is at 79.04/09. Additional levels are at 79.34/38 and 79.55/68 and should also be challenged by the pair fairly soon, since support at 78.04/77.98 is able to absorb downward momentum and restore

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