Technical Analysis

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Fri, 02 Nov 2012 17:14:02 GMT

XAU/USD overcome lower Bollinger band

Today the XAU/USD exchange rate experienced a huge movement downwards, which has already managed to overcome the lower Bollinger band, and at the particular moment the exchange rate is gradually moving towards the monthly S3 at 1666, which might bring some bullish impulse. In case it fails to stop the downtrend, then the price is very likely to decline until

Fri, 02 Nov 2012 17:13:54 GMT

GBP/JPY rebounds from monthly R1

The interim bullish trend, which started a couple of days ago, has failed to continue, as today GBP/JPY rebounded from the monthly R1, and at the particular moment the currency pair experiences a slight bearish reaction, which is slowly heading towards the monthly PP at 128.16, which might slow down the downtrend. If it is breached, then the price is

Fri, 02 Nov 2012 17:13:47 GMT

EUR/CAD experienced significant movement downwards

Today the EUR/CAD currency pair experienced a significant movement downwards, which has already managed to break the 20-day SMA at 1.2860, and now the currency pair is gradually approaching the 200-day SMA at 1.2755, which is very likely to stop the prevailing movement upwards. However, if it fails to slow down the current tendency, then the price might reach the

Fri, 02 Nov 2012 17:13:40 GMT

EUR/AUD maintains bearish outlook

The bearish reaction, which occurred yesterday, successfully managed to continue, as today the EUR/AUD currency couple experienced another consequent movement downwards, which at the particular moment is about to test the lower Bollinger band at 1.2348, which is expected to stop the current downtrend. In case it is breached, then the currency pair might reach the weekly S1 at 1.2301,

Fri, 02 Nov 2012 16:51:59 GMT

NZD/USD is poised for gains

NZD/USD has successfully closed above 0.8271/65, meaning that the surge started on Oct 30 may be continued. However, the pair is behaving timidly, implying currently extant indecision in the market. Once the rally is recommenced, 0.8324/37 could fall the first victim to bulls, paving the way towards 0.8407. In the meantime, possible losses are expected to be limited by 0.8218

Fri, 02 Nov 2012 16:51:51 GMT

USD/CAD retreats from parity

The 200-day SMA did not permit development of an up leg and therefore initiated a bearish correction. Support at 0.9958 has already gave in, exposing 0.9923/00, which in turn may prompt buyers to activate and drive the price back to parity and possibly even higher. Technical indicators for now are mixed, adding to obscurity surrounding the near-term outlook.

Fri, 02 Nov 2012 16:51:44 GMT

AUD/USD falters after approaching 1.0419/33

The pair shows signs of weakness, but has still some room to grow before reentering the down-trend. The nearest obstacle overhead may be found at 1.0419/33, but this level should not contain the price, which could in fact rise as high as 1.0472/88. The latter level, on the other hand, is anticipated to act as a ceiling and prevent further

Fri, 02 Nov 2012 16:51:37 GMT

EUR/JPY loses upward momentum

EUR/JPY failed to sustain the rally started this week and dipped ahead of the initial resistance at 104.10. The first support to be encountered lies at 103.39/10, although an extension of a decline is also viable. A lower level could be found at 102.63, while 102.20 will be reached provided that a violation of the up-trend support line is confirmed,

Fri, 02 Nov 2012 09:12:09 GMT

USD/CHF retests 0.9361

The currency couple did not capitulate after the initial failure and is attempting to overcome the 55-day SMA at 0.9361 anew. Provided that this resistance eventually gives in, the area at 0.9398/0.9440 should enforce a reversal and prevent further rally. Regardless, the bias stays from neutral to negative, with the nearest supports situated at 0.9331/12 and 0.9276.

Fri, 02 Nov 2012 09:02:05 GMT

USD/JPY challenges 80.27/37

The first test of bullish momentum is underway, since the currency pair has reached the level of a previous high and the weekly R1 at the same time—80.27/37. Successful penetration of this mark will pave the way towards 80.61 while preserving capability to advance even further, to 80.89/90. Nonetheless, by giving mixed signals technical indicators suggest such scenario may be

Fri, 02 Nov 2012 08:51:05 GMT

GBP/USD threatens 1.6086/47

GBP/USD still resides in proximity of 1.6166/80, being underpinned by the 1.6086/47 zone. However, with each new day the chance of a decline increases, this should bring the price down to 1.5964/51 initially, with a potential subsequent dip to 1.5895, the 100-day SMA. Weekly perspective suggests the cable stays buoyant at least until the weekend.

Fri, 02 Nov 2012 08:40:53 GMT

EUR/USD fails at 1.2962/79

Strong selling in the 1.2962/79 area did not allow EUR/USD to continue its rally from the 55-day SMA, which is in fact in danger of being breached today. If this is the case, the next line in the sand is supposed to be at 1.2853/41, although the dip is then likely to extend down to 1.2760/57, a formidable support level

Thu, 01 Nov 2012 15:30:22 GMT

NZD/USD gains momentum

Even though the candle has not yet been completely formed, looks like bulls have finally taken control of the currency pair after a lull. Technical indicators too point to the upside. The nearest resistance that may find itself under a threat of being breached is at 0.8265, whereas 0.8324/37 promises to be a more serious obstacle. Supports at 0.8218 and

Thu, 01 Nov 2012 15:30:13 GMT

USD/CAD headed north

Step by step USD/CAD is inching higher as continuation of development of its leg up, started after an encounter with a lower edge of a bearish channel, within which the pair has been fluctuating for more than a year. Consequently, the current bias is positive, although the advancement is likely to be cushioned by an up-trend line presently providing resistance

Thu, 01 Nov 2012 15:29:53 GMT

AUD/USD attempts to close above the 100-day SMA

Presently the spot price is above the 100-day SMA, however, the rally is unlikely to be sustained as in the recent cases, given that formidable resistance levels lie overhead. AUD/USD could potentially climb over 1.0419/26, if we rely on daily technical indicators, but the pair should be capped by an area at 1.0472/88 and thus remain within a slightly downward

Thu, 01 Nov 2012 15:29:46 GMT

EUR/JPY remains bullish

It appears that the currency couple is forming a rising wedge pattern on a daily chart at the moment ahead of a major down-trend resistance line that halted rallies for more than three years. Being that the wedge is a reversal pattern, we favour a strong rejection of the pair once it approaches an apex located at a 106 level

Thu, 01 Nov 2012 13:42:03 GMT

XAU/USD remains bullish

The uptrend, which started two days ago, managed to continue, and today the XAU/USD exchange rate experienced another slight bullish correction. AT the particular moment the exchange rate is about to test the 20-day SMA at 1729, which might slow down the current rally. In case it is breached, then the price is very likely to reach the 55-day

Thu, 01 Nov 2012 13:15:06 GMT

GBP/JPY to move higher

The bullish trend, which started a couple of days ago, successfully managed to continue, as today GBP/JPY experienced another movement upwards. As for now, the currency pair is gradually heading towards the monthly R1 at 129.59, which might bring some bearish momentum, however, if it is breached, then the price might reach the upper Bollinger band at 129.95, which in

Thu, 01 Nov 2012 12:34:03 GMT

EUR/CAD experiences slight bearish reaction

The interim bullish trend, which started a couple of days ago, has failed to continue, as today the EUR/CAD currency pair experienced a slight bearish reaction, and at the particular moment the price is heading towards the monthly PP at 1.2909, which might bring some bullish impulse. However, if it fails to stop the downtrend, then the currency couple will

Thu, 01 Nov 2012 11:50:02 GMT

EUR/AUD breaches 55-day SMA

The bearish tendency, which started yesterday, successfully managed to continue, as today the EUR/AUD currency couple experienced another consequent decline, which has already managed to to breach the 55-day SMA, and now the price is slowly approaching the 200-day SMA at 1.2427, which is very likely to stop the prevailing downtrend. In case it is broken, then the currency pair

Thu, 01 Nov 2012 08:48:44 GMT

USD/CHF gets rejected by the 55-day SMA

USD/CHF stayed below the 55-day SMA for the last two months and currently appears to be lacking bullish momentum in order to overcome it. Accordingly, the price may fall as low as 0.9222/0.9194 in the nearest future prior to receiving sufficient upward impetus to challenge the moving average once again. Still, the long-term outlook is from neutral to negative, since

Thu, 01 Nov 2012 08:48:35 GMT

USD/JPY surges from the 200-day SMA

Latest price action indicates increased possibility of a further appreciation of the U.S. Dollar relatively to the Japanese Yen, as during the recent consolidation phase the 200-day SMA successfully underpinned USD/JPY, preventing a reversal. The nearest resistance is at 80.27, followed by 80.54 and 80.89/90, while 79.74/59 should act as a floor for now.

Thu, 01 Nov 2012 08:48:28 GMT

GBP/USD closes in on 1.6164/99

The cable failed to close beneath the 55-day SMA for two consecutive days and is presently headed towards a major downtrend resistance line at 1.6164/99, as suggested by weekly technical indicators. In the meantime, near-term dips are to be contained by a formidable cluster of supports that stretches from 1.6086 down to 1.6047.

Thu, 01 Nov 2012 08:48:19 GMT

EUR/USD struggles at 1.2962/78

After a robust rally EUR/USD has formed a pin bar, implying significant selling pressure zone located above the current price, namely around weekly and monthly pivot points and the 20-day SMA. However, the pair preserves potential to advance and attempt to return to an up-trend resistance line it has breached in the beginning of the previous week.

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