Technical Analysis

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Wed, 12 Dec 2012 08:43:33 GMT

GBP/USD tests the weekly R1 at 1.6109 Dukascopy

GBP/USD pair's appreciation was stopped by the weekly R1 level at 1.6109. Currently, the price consolidates and it is very likely to see a further increase, at least till 1.6139, the upper Bollinger band. In case the impulse is strong enough to move higher, then the next resistance is at 1.6184, where the R1 intersects with R2.

Wed, 12 Dec 2012 08:43:24 GMT

EUR/USD pair is stopped by 1.30 psychological level

EUR/USD pair firmly overcame the 20-day SMA at 1.2965 yesterday and attempted to breach 1.30 area. In a H4 graph, the 55-day SMA lies at 1.3004 and contains strong resistance together with a psychological level. Therefore, it is likely to see a consolidation or even correction to accumulate a new impetus to move higher. The next resistance is the R1

Tue, 11 Dec 2012 15:39:01 GMT

NZD/USD reaches 9 month high

After minor setback last few days pair safely advanced above 0.8355—the highest level in 9 months. It seems that pairs rally is becoming very spontaneous  and at some point it should return at least to the boundaries of Bollinger band. Such probability is supported by Stochastic indicator which is deeply in overbought area, however, we should still wait for %K

Tue, 11 Dec 2012 15:38:53 GMT

USD/CAD supported by Bollinger band

For the third consecutive day pair is fluctuating in small, up to 25 pip, range. Although technical indicators give neutral signals it is worth mentioning that %K and %D in the Stochastic indicator have intersected and we might be observing a beginning of a bullish rally.  However, it is likely that even in case of a rally the pair might

Tue, 11 Dec 2012 15:38:44 GMT

AUD/USD breaches 1.05

 After series of attempts it seems that pair finally breached 1.05 for good. However, next, much more complicated step would be to breach Monthly R1/Bollinger band at 1.0514/18. It is very likely that like with 1.05 it will take some time since technical indicators do not shine with the abundance of conclusive signals.

Tue, 11 Dec 2012 15:38:36 GMT

EUR/JPY continues its recovery

 It seems pair gained some momentum as it continues to appreciate after receiving bullish impetus when it dipped to 106 JPY. At the moment pairs outlook is strongly bullish suggesting that we should see an attempt to breach 107.63 and recent high at  107.9 in the course of this week. 

Tue, 11 Dec 2012 13:32:40 GMT

USD/JPY rebounds from an upper line of the channel

General idea in USD/JPY pair does not change, since the price still moves in the channel. Yesterday the price rebounded from an upper boundary at 82.55 and slipped lower. Currently the currency pair is breaching the weekly PP at 82.37 and is very close to the 20-day SMA, which is at 82.24. If the price overcomes this SMA and settles

Tue, 11 Dec 2012 08:34:55 GMT

USD/CHF edges lower

USD/CHF pair gradually slips lower to retest the strength of the 20-day SMA at 0.9314. As the price entered the bullish side of the Bollinger line, the pair was pushed to retest its bullish sentiments. If the price remains above the 20-day SMA it is very likely to see a further appreciation.

Tue, 11 Dec 2012 08:34:36 GMT

GBP/USD reverses its direction

GBP/USD pair was slipping downward yesterday morning, but in London trading session the price reversed its direction and presently is firmly moving higher. The price still remains above the 20-day SMA, being is a strong signal of an up-trend. Therefore possible resistance levels are at 1.6109, where the R1 lies, and at 1.6132, an upper line of the Bollinger band.

Tue, 11 Dec 2012 08:34:28 GMT

EUR/USD increases towards the weekly PP at 1.2969

The major currency pair found a support at 1.2890, where the monthly PP intersects with the 55-day SMA. Currently EUR/USD is approaching the 20-day SMA at 1.2950, which is the middle line of Bollinger bands. It is very likely that next few days direction will depend on which side the price will settle regarding the 55-day SMA. In an up-trend

Mon, 10 Dec 2012 20:03:47 GMT

XAU/USD confronts 20-day SMA

Today the XAU/USD exchange rate experienced another consequent significant bullish advance, and now the price confronts the 20-day SMA at 1715, which might bring some bearish momentum, however, in case it fails to stop the uptrend, then the exchange rate will probably reach the 55-day SMA at 1724, which in turn might slow down the bullish tendency. Additionally, the overall

Mon, 10 Dec 2012 19:52:51 GMT

GBP/JPY slowly heading towards upper Bollinger band

Today GBP/JPY experienced another slight movement upwards, and at the particular moment the currency pair is slowly heading towards the upper Bollinger band at 133.19, which is expected to change the direction of the prevailing tendency, however, if it is breached, then the currency couple will probably reach the weekly R2 at 133.63, which in turn might slow down the

Mon, 10 Dec 2012 19:41:56 GMT

EUR/CAD bounces off 200-day SMA

The bearish trend, which started less than a week ago, has failed to continue, as today the EUR/CAD currency pair experienced a slight bullish correction, and now the currency couple is moving towards the 55-day SMA at 1.2818, which will probably slow down the uptrend, however, if it is breached, then the price might reach the weekly R1 at 1.2943,

Mon, 10 Dec 2012 19:30:48 GMT

EUR/AUD gradually approaching 200-day SMA

Yesterday's bullish correction successfully manage to continue, as today the EUR/AUD currency couple experienced another consequent movement upwards, and at the particular moment the price is gradually approaching the 200-day SMA at 1.2373, which is very likely to stop the uptrend, however, if it fails to slow down the bullish tendency, then the currency pair is very likely to face

Mon, 10 Dec 2012 16:10:26 GMT

NZD/USD at the 9 month high

Pair continues its rally as it managed to climb additional 30 pips today and at the moment it is testing Bollinger band and, what is more important, 9 month high, at 0.8352/55. Although technical indicators send strong bullish signals, the Stochastic indicator suggest pair might lack some power to set new high yet and bearish correction would be in order.

Mon, 10 Dec 2012 16:10:12 GMT

USD/CAD bound between Bollinger band and 100-day SMA

As was to be expected pair started the week very calmly. It tried to step up by some 20 pips, but it became evident rather soon that 100-day SMA is going to become a major obstacle for that. Since then pair was fluctuating between the mentioned SMA and Bollinger band. The RSI and the Stochastic indicators send positive signals, but

Mon, 10 Dec 2012 16:09:58 GMT

AUD/USD testing 1.05

As most of the major currencies aussie started the week with a dip, but received a bullish impetus from weekly PP at 1.0462 and at the moment is testing the strength of psychological level at 1.05. Technical indicators point at appreciation of the pair, but at the same time quite a few technical indicators give neutral outlook therefore a lot

Mon, 10 Dec 2012 16:09:43 GMT

EUR/JPY dips to 106 JPY

Pair started the week with a dip to 106 JPY, but quickly recovered and at the moment is hovering supported by 20-day SMA at 106.36. Technical indicators draw rather positive outlook on the pair as their aggregate signals point at appreciation of the pair on 1D and 1W horizons, but the Stochastic indicator on the 1W sends sell signal suggesting

Mon, 10 Dec 2012 16:08:33 GMT

USD/CHF tests the 55-day SMA at 0.9345

Last week USD/CHF pair ended by breaching the 55-day SMA and the monthly PP level at 0.9345. Today the price consolidates by slightly slipping lower to retest the 55-day SMA or even the 20-day SMA at 0.9320. Therefore it would be rational to wait where the price will find a support and settle.

Mon, 10 Dec 2012 16:08:23 GMT

USD/JPY fluctuates in a channel

USD/JPY pair remains locked in a channel, bounded by the upper line at 82.55 and the lower line at 81.87. As the price fluctuates in the same range for two weeks, all technical indicators returned into a neutral zone, therefore a further appreciation of this currency pair is very likely. The next resistance should be met at 83.01, where the

Mon, 10 Dec 2012 16:08:15 GMT

GBP/USD inches lower

GBP/USD pair continues to depreciate and today the price inches lower towards the key support level at 1.6011, where a downward trend-line intersects with the monthly PP and the 20-day, 55-day and 100-day SMAs. Around this level it is very likely to see some consolidation and after that a further price decrease to a 1.5860 area, where the 200-day SMA

Mon, 10 Dec 2012 16:08:04 GMT

EUR/USD approaches the monthly PP at 1.2891

EUR/USD pair finished last week by sharply depreciating. The price reached an important level at a 1.2900 area, where the 55-day SMA intersects with the monthly PP. As the currency pair depreciated last three days, and currently is traded around the 20-day SMA together with the RSI value of 27 in a H4 graph, it is very likely to see

Fri, 07 Dec 2012 18:34:39 GMT

XAU/USD maintains bullish outlook

The bullish correction, which occurred yesterday, has successfully managed to continue, as today the XAU/USD exchange rate experienced another bullish movement, and at the particular moment the price is gradually approaching the monthly PP at 1713, which might bring some bearish momentum, however, if it is breached, then the exchange rate is likely to reach the 55-day SMA at 1726,

Fri, 07 Dec 2012 18:23:39 GMT

GBP/JPY experiences another bearish reaction

Today GBP/JPY experienced another consequent bearish reaction, and at the particular moment the currency pair is slowly approaching the weekly PP at 131.79, which is likely to bring some bullish impetus, but if it is breached, then the price might reach the 20-day SMA at 131.13, which in turn will probably change the direction of the current movement. In addition,

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