AUD/USD puts channel's resistance line to the test

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"Fed officials seem a lot less certain about the glide path of future projected rate rises. This may well explain why the U.S. dollar has sold off sharply." 
– CMC Markets (based on Bloomberg)


Pair's Outlook 
On Wednesday the Aussie climbed higher against the US counterpart, completely ignoring the immediate resistance level. However, the second cluster, located around 0.7295, successfully limited yesterday's gains. This area keeps providing resistance today, but with the risk-on sentiment still present on the markets this cluster is unlikely to cause a U-turn. Instead attention turns to the weekly R3 at 0.7331, which is also reinforced by the descending channel's upper trend-line. Meanwhile, technical indicators are unable to confirm the possibility of the positive outcome, as they keep giving bearish signals.  

Traders' Sentiment 

Bulls and bears are now closer to being in a perfect equilibrium, as 51% of all open positions are now short (previously 59%). At the same time, 51% of all pending orders are to sell the Australian currency.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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