NZD/USD risks closing below 0.71

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"After the strong post-Trump rally it's clear that a bit more two-way flow has returned to the USD and we expect it to show further signs of consolidation into year-end, before the upward trend returns." 
- Bank of New Zealand (based on The New Zealand Herald) 


Pair's Outlook 
The NZD/USD currency pair surprised with its performance on Monday, having unexpectedly recovered from its intraday low and posted a five-pip gain. However, yesterday's inability to edge lower does not mean the Kiwi is to keep outperforming the US counterpart. Technical indicators still suggest the pair is to decline, with the main target being the weekly S1 and the 200-day SMA cluster around 0.7060. At the same time, a number of levels are weighing on the New Zealand Dollar from above, making it difficult for a bullish development to take place. The base case scenario is a close somewhere between the 0.71 and 0.7170 levels. 

Traders' Sentiment 
Market sentiment remains bearish, with 64% of traders holding short positions. Meanwhile, the portion of sell orders surged from 46 to 51%.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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