AUD/USD trades above the down-trend

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"The RBA's Nov Statement on Monetary Policy included a forecast of 3% y/y growth by Dec 2016. So long as this is the RBA's view, they should be content with a 2% cash rate. The main risk to the outlook seems to be from the terms of trade."
- Westpac (based on FXStreet) 


Pair's Outlook 
The Aussie overperformed yesterday, closing trade above a one-year long resistance line, due to a surge in commodity prices. The pair is to attempt and preserve the bullish momentum today, but might still return under the trend-line, as a number of US fundamentals are likely to weigh on the AUD/USD. The immediate support is now represented by the 100-day SMA, the weekly and monthly PPs around 0.7184. However, in case data disappoints today, the Antipodean currency could stabilise near 0.73—at the weekly R1. 

Traders' Sentiment 
The share of long positions lost two percentage points today, now taking up 72% of the market. Meanwhile, the number of sell orders returned to its Monday's level of 58%.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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