NZD/USD attempts to preserve the bullish trend

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"The market is very much focused now on this growing El Nino effect. There does appear to be a growing momentum behind that at the moment. It's a negative for the country. That means that the kiwi dollar remains under pressure." 
- OMF (based on The New Zealand Herald) 


Pair's Outlook 
The weekly PP gave in yesterday, allowing the NZD/USD currency pair to reach the monthly pivot point at 0.6375. The Kiwi's bullish momentum is yet to fade, as the New Zealand currency is testing the major level of 0.64 today. Gains should not exceed 0.6514, the one-week high, also bolstered by the weekly R1 this week. However, the NZ Dollar remains under the risk of retreating to the weekly PP, while technical indicators are showing bearish signs, bolstering the possibility of a negative outcome. A break through 0.6342, namely the weekly PP, is likely to contribute to a decline back under 0.63.  

Traders' Sentiment 
There are now 67% of traders holding short positions (previously 53%), while 84% of all commands are to sell the Kiwi, up from 68%.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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