NZD/USD opens with a bearish gap

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"There was an exuberance in the market relative to the significance of the milk scandal, but other factors may drive the New Zealand dollar lower in the medium term."
- Morgan Stanley (based on CNBC)


Pair's Outlook

NZD/USD has just entered the support zone (0.78-0.77), the one responsible for the bullish correction that took place in July. Accordingly, there is potential for a rally, although it is going to encounter resistance at 0.7884/70 in the face of the 55-day SMA and weekly PP. Additionally, there is the weekly pivot point overhead, at 0.7918, that should secure the bearish bias.

Traders' Sentiment
A significant portion (64%) of SWFX traders reckon that the New Zealand Dollar is going to outpace its North American counterpart. The most likely reason for such a strong change in the sentiment (only 55% were long on NZD/USD on Aug 2) is anticipation that the price should close the downside gap first.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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