AUD/USD bounced from the weekly PP

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"We have been able to counter the effects of the higher Australian dollar with lower interest rates. We still obviously retain scope to lower interest rates further, should the need arise, including to counterbalance the pressures of an elevated exchange rate."  
- Assistant Governor Guy Debelle (based on Bloomberg)

Pair's Outlook 
The Australian Dollar does not show any bullish momentum to breach the 20-day SMA and get back to a 1.04 area, where the major SMAs intersect.  Currently the pair fluctuates in a 100 pips wide lat channel and it seems that AUD/USD is getting ready for a fall, since the weekly PP level was strong yesterday, and the price slipped towards the monthly S2 at 1.0244. The closest support is at 1.0222, where the weekly S1 merges with the lower Bollinger band.

Traders' Sentiment 
Popularity of the Aussie is improving, as long positions for the currency increased by 2% and reached 44%. The sell side slipped to 56% and sill maintains a fragile majority. Pending orders market almost perfectly reflects the spot market, as 47% are waiting for a long position and 53% for a short.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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