XAU/USD testing falling wedge pattern

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Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
PositionsTodayYesterdayChange
Longs37%36%2.1%
Shorts63%64%-1.2%
Indicator4H1D1W
MACD(12;26;9)SellSellBuy
RSI(14)NeutralNeutralNeutral
Stochastic(5;3;3)NeutralNeutralNeutral
Alligator(13;8;5)SellSellBuy
SAR(0.02;0.2)SellSellSell
Aggregate

During the previous trading session, the price for gold traded sideways between the Fibonacci 38.20% retracement and the lower boundary of the falling wedge pattern, located at 1,273.68 and 1,269.55 respectively.  

Given that the XAU/USD exchange rate is pressured by the 55-, 100– and 200-hour SMAs, it is likely, that a breakout north from the pattern could occur. A possible downside target is the psychological level at 1,266.00. 

However, if the given pattern holds, it is expected, that the rate could continue to trade sideways around the 1,272.00 level. It is unlikely, that some upside potential could prevail in the market due to the given resistance.

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