XAU/USD: falling wedge pattern in sight

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
PositionsTodayYesterdayChange
Longs39%37%5.6%
Shorts61%63%-3.6%
Indicator4H1D1W
MACD(12;26;9)SellSellBuy
RSI(14)NeutralNeutralNeutral
Stochastic(5;3;3)BuyNeutralNeutral
Alligator(13;8;5)NeutralSellBuy
SAR(0.02;0.2)SellBuySell
Aggregate

At the beginning of current week, the XAU/USD exchange rate traded between the 55– and 100-hour SMAs.  

From a theoretical perspective, the rate should reverse north from the lower boundary of the falling wedge pattern. However, the price for gold has to surpass the given moving averages. 

If the given resistance and pattern hold, it is likely, that the rate could trade sideways around the Fibonacci 38.20% retracement at 1,273.68. If the given pattern does not hold, it is expected, that a breakout south occurs in the short run.

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