Analyse fondamentale

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Thu, 23 Jan 2025 14:08:45 GMT

Tensions between the U.S. and Mexico may create trade opportunities

The U.S.-Mexico trade relationship has been very important for both countries. The U.S. has been Mexico's biggest trading partner, and Mexico has been one of the U.S.'s top partners. Each year, they have traded hundreds of billions of dollars in goods. Mexico has sent products like cars, electronics, machinery, and oil to the U.S. The U.S. has exported machinery, chemicals,

Tue, 21 Jan 2025 09:13:44 GMT

Gold rises above $2,700.00

Gold has risen above $2,700, marking a 40-day high. If momentum builds, the probability of the price moving towards $2,800 increases. Uncertainty is elevated with Donald Trump's return to office. If hedging continues long-term against political uncertainty, higher levels of gold should be considered. A rejection of the $2,720 price level could push the price lower, potentially towards the $2,621

Fri, 17 Jan 2025 10:03:27 GMT

Bitcoin recovers above $100,000

Bitcoin has reached $100,000, marking a major recovery after recent drops. This price increase is fueled by several factors, including more institutional investment, concerns over global economic stability, and growing belief in Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation. Large companies like Tesla and MicroStrategy have embraced Bitcoin, and more financial institutions are offering crypto products. Economic uncertainty, including fears of

Thu, 16 Jan 2025 12:35:03 GMT

Consumer price index rises

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers rose 0.4% in December, following a 0.3% increase in November. Over the past year, the CPI increased by 2.9%. Energy prices rose 2.6% in December, with gasoline up 4.4%. Food prices also increased by 0.3%, both at home and away from home. Excluding food and energy, the CPI rose 0.2% in

Wed, 08 Jan 2025 13:03:14 GMT

ISM services higher than anticipated

The services sector grew for the sixth month in a row in December, with the Services PMI at 54.1%, up from 52.1% in November. Business activity and new orders increased, while employment remained stable. Supplier deliveries slowed, and prices rose to 64.4%. Nine industries saw growth, but order backlogs kept shrinking. Panelists were optimistic, influenced by seasonal factors and concerns

Fri, 03 Jan 2025 15:46:39 GMT

The last ISM report of 2024 comes in mixed

Economic activity in the manufacturing sector shrank in December for the ninth month in a row, continuing a trend seen in 25 out of the last 26 months, according to the latest Manufacturing ISM report. The Manufacturing PMI® was 49.3% in December, up from 48.4% in November, showing slow growth. The overall economy is still expanding, marking 56 months

Fri, 03 Jan 2025 15:15:50 GMT

BTC outlook for 2025

Bitcoin's price prediction for 2025 is uncertain but generally positive, with many expecting significant growth due to a combination of factors. One of the biggest drivers is increasing institutional adoption. Large financial institutions, hedge funds, and corporations are gradually investing in Bitcoin, which adds legitimacy to it as an asset class. As demand from these investors rises, Bitcoin's price is

Thu, 02 Jan 2025 09:36:50 GMT

EUR/USD is anticipating stronger downside pressure

EUR/USD is facing downside pressure, trading near a one-month low of 1.03640 as 2025 starts. The US Dollar remains strong, while the expectation that the Federal Reserve will scale back interest rate cuts more than anticipated. Following interest reduction in 2024, the Fed is projected to cut rates less in 2025, supported by strong US economic performance and a

Fri, 20 Dec 2024 11:12:43 GMT

The retail sales numbers continue to hurt GBP/USD

On December 20th, the Office for National Statistics reported on the UK's monthly retail sales. Retail sales volumes rose by 0.2% in November 2024, following a 0.7% drop in October 2024. Supermarkets and non-food stores saw growth, but this was partly offset by a decline in clothing sales. Black Friday, which took place on November 29, 2024, was outside the

Wed, 18 Dec 2024 12:10:03 GMT

November retail sales were higher than expected

Retail sales in November rose by 0.7%, surpassing analysts' predictions of 0.6%, indicating strong consumer spending and a positive start to the holiday shopping season in the U.S. Excluding autos and gas, sales grew by 0.2%, which was below the expected 0.4%. The control group, important for GDP calculations, saw a 0.4% increase, matching expectations. A strong consumer base is

Wed, 18 Dec 2024 09:59:21 GMT

The cocoa price has risen to all-time highs

Global cocoa prices have hit a record high due to drought conditions damaging crops in West Africa. The El Niño weather phenomenon is causing hot, dry weather in major cocoa-producing countries like Ghana and Ivory Coast, while climate change is also worsening the situation. The global cocoa market faced its biggest deficit in over 60 years in the 2023-2024 marketing

Thu, 12 Dec 2024 09:52:22 GMT

November CPI data come in as expected

The latest Bureau of Labor Statistics data showed that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 2.7% annually in November, a slight increase from October's 2.6%, with a 0.3% monthly gain, matching economists' estimates, while core inflation, excluding food and gas, also climbed 0.3% month-over-month and 3.3% year-over-year, prompting concerns from economists who have noted it may not influence the Fed's

Thu, 12 Dec 2024 09:03:14 GMT

Swiss National Bank cuts rates more than expected

On December 12, 2024, the Swiss National Bank made necessary changes to the interest rate of the national currency. The initially forecasted interest rate cut was 0.25%, but unexpectedly, the market saw a cut of 0.50%. The new interest rate is now 0.50%. The larger-than-anticipated rate cut has had a negative impact on the national currency against the dollar. In

Thu, 05 Dec 2024 09:35:04 GMT

Bitcoin passes a historical milestone: $100,000

Bitcoin has outperformed the S&P 500 by more than 25% year-to-date and, on December 5th, 2024, reached the $100,000 price level—a historic milestone for an asset that has existed for less than two decades. The previous resistance level of $73,000 was breached, creating momentum for price discovery that led to $100,000. If a solid breakout above the $100,000 price

Wed, 27 Nov 2024 11:38:44 GMT

Coffee prices rise in fears of a further drought

Coffee prices have seen a significant increase due to concerns about the future supply of coffee crops. Year-to-date, coffee prices have risen by over 72%, outperforming the S&P 500 index by nearly 50% so far this year. Ongoing drought conditions in Brazil are raising concerns about long-term damage to the country's coffee crops, driving prices higher. Since April, below-average rainfall

Tue, 19 Nov 2024 14:08:59 GMT

Canadian inflation data creates major move

Monthly publication of Canadian inflation data has shown not only rising inflation, but also higher than expected increases. Namely, markets expected prices increasing, but the pace is higher than forecast. Month-on-month inflation increase is 0.4% instead of the forecast 0.3%. Previous month, prices decreased by 0.4%. Median annual CPI is at 2.5% instead of forecast 2.4%. Prior data showed 2.3%.

Fri, 15 Nov 2024 16:31:12 GMT

US Retail Sale revision strengthens USD

The most recent publication of US Retail Sales data has caused a surge of the US Dollar. In general, the current data was mixed, but the revision of previous data caused the surge. Monthly retail sales volume was expected to increase 0.3%, but actual increase is 0.4%. However, this increase was offset by the fact that the Core Retail

Fri, 15 Nov 2024 12:18:34 GMT

UK GDP causes volatility

The monthly UK GDP data has surprised the markets by revealing that the UK economy has shrunk. Namely, the GDP has decreased by 0.1% instead of growing by 0.2%. The GBP declined after the news. However, the decline ended after three hours and losses were recovered by midday. The main reason for the recovery is the fact that the

Thu, 14 Nov 2024 13:45:53 GMT

US Producer Prices increase

It was reported yesterday: "The US Dollar strengthened on Wednesday due to the US Consumer Price Index increasing from 2.4% up to 2.6% on an annual basis. This dataset indicates that the US Federal Reserve might have cut interest rates by too much and too early in September." On Thursday, the publication of the US Producer Price Index showed

Wed, 13 Nov 2024 17:24:12 GMT

US inflation increases

The US Dollar strengthened on Wednesday due to the US Consumer Price Index increasing from 2.4% up to 2.6% on an annual basis. This dataset indicates that the US Federal Reserve might have cut interest rates by too much and too early in September. In the meantime, month on month CPI showed an increase of 0.2%. Moreover, the Core

Mon, 11 Nov 2024 21:14:29 GMT

Bitcoin Surpasses $85,000

Bitcoin has surged past $85,000, hitting a new all-time high following the US election results and after news that Charles Hoskinson will be joining the U.S. government to participate in implementation of crypto policy in the United States. The rally reflects growing confidence in the potential for clearer regulatory frameworks to benefit the industry. The bullish momentum points to the

Thu, 07 Nov 2024 20:39:56 GMT

Federal Reserve cuts as expected

The US Federal Reserve cut interest rates at 19:00 GMT on Thursday. The central bank reduced the base rate, as expected, by 0.25%. The current rate stands at 4.75%. The US Dollar surged on the news, as there were prior speculations that the Fed might cut 0.50%. The lesser cut revealed that there will be more demand for the USD

Thu, 07 Nov 2024 12:42:21 GMT

Bank of England cuts rate

At 12:00 GMT, Bank of England in its Monetary Policy Committee has decided to cut interest rates. GBP/USD rate is reacting to the upside. As forecasted, official Bank rate of the GBP has been reduced by 0.25%. New rate is at 4.75%. Predictable monetary policy from the BoE is a good signal for overall economic environment in the UK. Monetary

Fri, 01 Nov 2024 12:35:19 GMT

USA creates almost no new jobs

The monthly US Employment data has been published. In general, the data revealed almost no job creation in the USA, which caused a drop of the Dollar. Average Hourly Earnings were expected to show an increase of 0.3%. Actual raises were 0.4%. Non-Farm Employment Change was forecast to show 106,000 new jobs added to the US labour market. The market

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