GDP Growth improves, but still weak - 0.8% from 0.5%

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
"While first-quarter GDP remained low despite the upward revision, there are a number of reasons to anticipate a rebound in the second quarter. Incoming data has been noticeably stronger, while the drags from low oil prices and a strong dollar were less than previously estimated. boosting Overall, this is another in a string of positive data releases which will provide plenty of ammunition for the Fed to raise rates no later than July".
- National Association of Federal Credit Unions

The US economy slowed in the first quarter although not as sharply as initially thought, amid a surge in spending on home building and a steady increase in inventory investment by businesses. According to the Commerce Department report released on Friday, the broadest measure of the US economic performance, expanded at an 0.8% annual rate between January and March compared to the previous reading of 0.5%. Despite the nation's gross domestic product in the first quarter of the year positive tendency, the indicator remains at its lowest level since the first quarter of 2015. Overall, the US economy has been hurt by a strong dollar and sluggish global demand, which have eroded export growth. However, there are signals that the US economy will rebound in the second quarter, with retail sales, goods exports, industrial production, housing starts and home sales soaring in April.  

In the meantime, during the Fed Chair press-conference, Janet Yellen gave a big hint that interest rates could be raised in June or July. Moreover, the Federal Reserve did not see the financial crisis coming, even though there were apparent clues. Yellen's comments renewed the market's conviction that the second rate hike of this cycle is approaching. Treasuries fell, while stocks, in turn, slipped to the lowest levels of the day. 

© Dukascopy Bank SA

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