What to focus on this week?! Key events that will drive markets

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
The outlook for U.S. and U.K. monetary policy will be the hot-button issue this week, as the Bank of England will announce its interest rate policy decision, while the FOMC minutes are likely to underline the key short-run issues policy makers are currently pondering including the amount of left-over slack in the labour market and the future of forward guidance on interest rates. On top of that, a number of regional Fed presidents are due to speak this week including such hawks as Esther George and Jeffrey Lacker, while doves will be presented by Narayana Kocherlakota and Charles Evans. Meanwhile, industrial data from some Euro zone's members will show where the real economy is heading. Most of the numbers are projected to disappoint on a monthly basis, with Germany's industrial output reading seen falling to 1.5% in August from a month earlier and 0.4% compared to the previous year. However, a timid 0.5% improvement is expected in Italian industrial production. In addition to that, Greece will publish labour data, with the nation's unemployment projected to stay at unhealthy high level of 27%. Negative news is also expected from Germany's trade sector where analysts see exports falling by as much as 6% on a monthly basis, compared with the previous month's growth of 4.7%. 
The previous week showed that economic growth in the United States was revised to the upside for second quarter of this year, as the pace of increase reached its largest level since October-December quarter of the year 2011. According to the final revision from Bureau of Economic Analysis, country's GDP added 4.6% on a yearly basis, while earlier assumptions predicted a 4.2% advance. Also, U.S. unemployment fell below the 6% threshold for the first time since the Great Recession, adding to further evidence the job market has been enjoying the steadiest recovery in U.S. history. The jobless rate declined from 6.1% in August to 5.9%, the lowest level since July 2008, Labor Department said. This is due to the fact that hiring returned to a strong pace, as employers added 248,000 jobs in September, rebounding from a weak August. Meanwhile, consumer price index in Japan, the world's third largest economy, declined further in August, as year-on-year prices' increase reached 1.1%, not taking into account the rise in sales tax back in April of this year. The European Central Bank maintained its interest rates unchanged, while shifted its attention to asset-buying scheme, on which the bank has been pinning hopes to revive the flagging economy. Mario Draghi, ECB Governor, said that the ECB will begin purchasing covered bonds, which are backed by public sector loans or mortgages and asset-backed securities, which is aimed at flooding cash into the Euro zone economy, later this year. The asset-purchase programme will last at least two years, however, the size of it is still unknown.  
The Euro fell to more than two-year lows against the Dollar on Friday after an upbeat U.S. jobs report boosted expectations for an early interest rate hike, while weak Euro zone data added to concerns over the economic outlook for the region. EUR/USD was down 1.22% to 1.2514, the weakest level since August 2012 in Frida's trade session. For the week, the pair dropped 1.26%. The Pound also experienced a bearish pressure amid positive U.S. data, with GBP/USD falling 1.08% to 1.5970 on Friday. For the week, the pair lost 1.66%.

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