EUR/USD breakout occurs

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
On Wednesday, Euro edged lower by 79 pips or 0.65% against the US Dollar. A breakout occurred through the lower boundary of an ascending channel pattern during Wednesday's trading session.

Economic Calendar Analysis



At 12:30 GMT on Thursday, the US Preliminary GDP has been published. This event has caused EUR/USD moves from 6.3 to 15.1 pips. Note that in most cases the rate has moved below ten pips, which is in the range of normal volatility. Namely, the event has not caused actual moves.

Also on Thursday, the weekly US Unemployment Claims have been published at 12:30 GMT. Our analysts have been ignoring this event since February, as it did not have an impact on the USD. This week, another check of the data was done.

The event supposedly caused a notable move on May 13, when the EUR/USD moved 19.4 pips in the span of ten minutes. However, that was due to three data sets being released at the same time. Namely, the US PPI and Core PPI showed better than expected results and combined with the Unemployment Claims caused an increase of volatility.

Click on the link below to find out more about the data releases of this and other currency exchange rates.

EUR/USD hourly chart's review

Given that a breakout has occurred, sellers could continue to pressure the exchange rate lower during the following trading session. The possible target for bearish traders would be near the 1.2140 area.

However, the weekly pivot point at 1.2185 could provide support for the EUR/USD currency exchange rate in the shorter term.

Hourly Chart

EUR/USD daily chart's review

On the daily candle chart, the rate has reached the February high just below the 1.2250 level. If this level gets passed, the 2021 high near 1.2350 could be targeted.

In the meantime, the rate remains in a channel up pattern, which has guided the rate up since the start of April.

Daily chart




Buy orders decrease

On Wednesday, on the Swiss Foreign Exchange trader open positions were short, as 64% of open position volume was in short positions.

Meanwhile, trader set up pending orders in the 100-pip range around the pair were 62% to buy the pair.

Actual Topics

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